Andy Molitor
39 minutes ago
The FedExCup Fall standings heading into the 2026 Austin Championship have five players separated by 19 points for the last three Aon Next 10 spots, and all five are on the Austin odds board. Our read from Tuesday’s prices: the books like Jordan Smith to climb into the top 60 and Pierceson Coody to be the man who drops out. At the top-100 line, Chris Kirk is the chaser the market actually rates.
Everything below uses the PGA Tour’s official FedExCup Fall standings as read Tuesday morning, November 10, which already count Blades Brown as a Tour member after his win at the World Wide Technology Championship. Prices are from the OpticOdds feed at 6:47 AM Central on Tuesday.
Two events are left, the Austin Championship this week at the Fazio Canyons Course at Omni Barton Creek and then the RSM Classic, which closes the season. The top 100 in the FedExCup Fall standings keep full PGA Tour cards for 2027, and Nos. 51 to 60 make up the Aon Next 10. Austin pays 500 FedExCup points to the winner, per the PGA Tour’s field story.
Blades Brown changed the math on Sunday. He won the 2026 WWT as a non-member, took up membership with the victory, and the PGA Tour says his 918.142 points slot him 59th. That one move pushed everybody below him down a spot, which is why Jason Day went from inside the top 100 to 101st without hitting a shot.

Pierceson Coody holds the 60th spot in the 2026 FedExCup Fall standings with 913.427 points. Doug Ghim (58th) and Blades Brown (59th) sit less than seven points above him, and Max Homa (61st) and Jordan Smith (62nd) sit about 12 and 13 points behind. All five are priced to play Austin.
The table below shows Nos. 53 to 62 in the official standings on Tuesday, November 10, with each player’s gap to Coody at No. 60 and his DraftKings top 20 price at 6:47 AM Central. “On the board” means the player was on DraftKings Network’s full-field odds list Monday and on all five books in the OpticOdds feed Tuesday. Ben James and Michael Kim were on Monday’s list but on no book’s Austin board Tuesday morning.
| Rank | Player | Points | Gap to No. 60 | On the Austin board | Top 20 (DK) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | Ben James | 1,120.610 | 207.18 ahead | Monday only | None |
| 54 | Andrew Novak | 1,045.624 | 132.20 ahead | Yes | +142 |
| 55 | Michael Kim | 975.407 | 61.98 ahead | Monday only | None |
| 56 | Steven Fisk | 960.543 | 47.12 ahead | No | None |
| 57 | Harry Hall | 920.559 | 7.13 ahead | No | None |
| 58 | Doug Ghim | 919.760 | 6.33 ahead | Yes | -104 |
| 59 | Blades Brown | 918.142 | 4.72 ahead | Yes | +120 |
| 60 | Pierceson Coody | 913.427 | The line | Yes | +172 |
| 61 | Max Homa | 901.687 | 11.74 behind | Yes | +225 |
| 62 | Jordan Smith | 900.672 | 12.76 behind | Yes | +144 |
Look at Harry Hall. He is 57th, only 7.13 points clear of the line, and he is not on the board. If two of the five men below him have a decent week, he slides, and then he has the RSM to fix it.
Now look at the prices. Jordan Smith is +144 to finish top 20 at DraftKings and +2800 to win, both shorter than Coody’s +172 and +3400. The books think the man in 62nd is likelier to have a good week than the man in 60th, and a 12.76-point gap is not much. A T33 at last week’s WWT paid 19.056 points, so a week in the low 30s from Smith while Coody stalls would flip them. That happens all the time.

Ghim is the steadiest of the group on paper. He is +1650 to win at DraftKings, one of the two shortest prices in the field behind Jackson Koivun at +1550, and -104 to finish top 20, the only bubble player priced odds-on for that market. Brown, at +120, is not far behind him.
Chandler Phillips holds the 100th and final card spot in the 2026 FedExCup Fall standings with 495.618 points. Jason Day is 101st, less than half a point behind, but Day is not on the Austin board. Chris Kirk is 102nd, 17.31 points back, and he is one of the six shortest prices in the field at DraftKings.
The table shows Nos. 95 to 105 in the PGA Tour’s official standings on Tuesday, November 10, with each player’s gap to Phillips at No. 100 and his DraftKings top 20 price at 6:47 AM Central. “On the board” uses the same two lists as the table above.

| Rank | Player | Points | Gap to No. 100 | On the Austin board | Top 20 (DK) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | David Lipsky | 542.183 | 46.57 ahead | Yes | +630 |
| 96 | Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 534.657 | 39.04 ahead | Yes | +200 |
| 97 | Max Greyserman | 522.773 | 27.16 ahead | Yes | +235 |
| 98 | Billy Horschel | 507.143 | 11.53 ahead | Yes | +290 |
| 99 | Kevin Yu | 501.270 | 5.65 ahead | Yes | +235 |
| 100 | Chandler Phillips | 495.618 | The line | Yes | +335 |
| 101 | Jason Day | 495.182 | 0.44 behind | No | None |
| 102 | Chris Kirk | 478.309 | 17.31 behind | Yes | +148 |
| 103 | Mackenzie Hughes | 466.111 | 29.51 behind | Yes | +220 |
| 104 | Taylor Pendrith | 464.011 | 31.61 behind | Yes | +365 |
| 105 | Brandt Snedeker | 462.328 | 33.29 behind | No | None |
Here is the part that matters for Day. He is sitting at 495.182 and not playing, so every player behind him who adds a modest number this week walks right past. Kirk needs 17.31 more points than Phillips. If Phillips adds nothing, a finish in the low 30s does it for Kirk, since a T33 at the WWT was worth 19.056 points.
The market thinks Kirk gets there. His top 20 price is +148 at DraftKings, roughly a 40 percent implied chance before you take out the vig, and a top 20 alone would clear the gap with plenty to spare. He is +2900 to win, shorter than Austin Smotherman, who has won his last two starts. Of everyone outside the top 100 who is playing, Kirk is the one the books price like a contender.
Mackenzie Hughes and Taylor Pendrith need around 30 points if Phillips stands still, which is roughly a top 25. Hughes at +220 for a top 20 is a real threat to that line. Pendrith at +365 is more of a long shot. Kevin Yu, 99th with only a 5.65-point cushion, is the man inside the line with the least room.
The 2026 Austin Championship is a 500-point event, so a win is worth 500 FedExCup points, second is worth 300, and a solo 10th is worth 75. Ties split the points for the places they cover, the same way they did at the WWT last week.

The table shows FedExCup points by finish at a 500-point PGA Tour event, checked against what the PGA Tour paid at the 2026 WWT on November 8. The tie rows are actual WWT payouts.
| Finish | FedExCup points | What it does on the bubble |
|---|---|---|
| Win | 500 | Lifts any bubble player in these tables who is playing well past Coody’s 913.427 |
| 2nd | 300 | Takes Kirk to about 778, nowhere near the top-100 line anymore |
| 3rd | 190 | Takes Homa or Smith past Novak at 54th |
| 5th | 110 | Takes Homa or Smith to about 1,010, past Kim but short of Novak |
| 10th | 75 | Takes Homa or Smith past Fisk and, barely, Kim |
| 20th | 45 | Takes Kirk, Hughes, or Pendrith past Phillips if he adds nothing |
| T21 (WWT, 4 tied) | 40.000 | Still enough for Hughes and Pendrith |
| T25 (WWT, 8 tied) | 30.250 | Just enough for Hughes, just short for Pendrith |
| T33 (WWT, 9 tied) | 19.056 | Enough for Kirk if Phillips adds nothing |
| T42 (WWT, 8 tied) | 11.125 | Just short for Homa (needs 11.74) and Smith (needs 12.76), even if Coody adds nothing |
The rows assume the man being passed stands still. Kim, Fisk, Hall, and Day are not on the Austin board, so for them that is the likely case. Coody, Phillips, and everyone else who tees it up will be adding points of their own.
Do not pay for motivation. Every bubble story this week is public, and the prices above already reflect who the books think is playing well. Bubble pressure is a reason to watch, not a reason to bet.
What the board does tell you is where the movement is likely to come from. Kirk is priced as the most likely man outside the top 100 to have a big week, and Jordan Smith is priced as the most likely man outside the top 60 to do the same. If you are building your own numbers for Austin, those two are where the bubble and the betting overlap. That is the kind of question the Rabbit Hole model builder is made for, since you choose which strokes gained categories count and it ranks the field from there. You can compare every price in the field on our page with the best golf odds this week.
Handicap the week the way we do, on us. First-time depositors at ReBet using code BSG get a free Betsperts Golf subscription plus a 100 percent match up to 100 dollars on a 10 dollar deposit.
After the RSM Classic, the week after Austin. The PGA Tour says the players at Nos. 51 to 60 at the conclusion of the RSM Classic make up the Aon Next 10, and the top 100 at that point keep their cards for 2027.
Nos. 51 to 60 get starts in the first two Signature Events of 2027, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and the Genesis Invitational, according to the PGA Tour. Those are big-purse, big-points weeks that players outside the top 50 cannot otherwise count on.
Before Blades Brown‘s points counted as a member, Phillips was 99th and Day was 100th, so any list built before that change still has Day inside the line. The PGA Tour’s official standings now include Brown at 59th, which moved everyone below him down one spot and left Day at 101st.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources