Noonan’s 2026 Travelers Championship Betting Picks

Travelers Championship Betting Picks – Congratulations to Wyndham Clark and anyone who backed him last week at Shinnecock Hills. It was truly one of the strangest weeks I can remember in quite a while, and Clark persevered through it all to go wire-to-wire for his second U.S. Open title and second win in his past four starts.

While this week’s track, TPC River Highlands, isn’t nearly as demanding as Shinnecock Hills is, it requires a strategic game plan and precision from the 72 golfers in the field.

The 2026 Travelers Championship brings us to the last Pete Dye course and the last no-cut Signature Event of the season. The par-70 layout stretches out to 6,844 yards from the tips, the third-shortest course on Tour this season. In past years, we’ve seen a wide array of skill sets show up to Cromwell, Connecticut, and win, which is what Pete Dye sets out to do in all of his designs. Play the best for four days, and you win. What a concept. Success at TPC River Highlands has come in many different shapes and sizes, so handicapping this week can be a bit challenging.

With fairways being the 10th narrowest and many holes being tree-lined doglegs, many players opt to club down and play “less than a driver” off the tee. Last year’s driver usage was at 60.7%%, notably lower than the 70.2% average across all PGA Tour stops. Perhaps the bigger reason players club down is that some of the most penal rough has been grown to 4+ inches for this week.

To prevent a complete birdie-fest, the pin positions on the greens are typically in tougher locations. A Pete Dye course is not just going to give away birdies. Many of the green complexes, which are a combination of “northeastern” Poa annua and bentgrass, are also angled away from the directional path of the hole. The “competitive enhancements” made to the course prior to the 2024 event haven’t had a significant impact on the overall scoring, though 2025 played 1.5 strokes harder than 2024’s event.

For more course details, check out Ron’s course preview. It’s the best in the business, bar none. Also, don’t forget to check out our research tools, the TPC River Highlands course stats, along with the Tournament Cheat Sheet.

Podcast: Apple | Spotify

YouTube: Betsperts Golf

There are millions of ways to bet on this beautiful game. My goal with this piece is to touch on the golfers I’m targeting in the outright market this week. Remember to check out the Rabbit Hole, our customizable stat database. It can help you pare down your player pool each week.

Utilize our Discord for up-to-the-minute lines and betting advice. My full card and live in-tournament bets will be posted there. Reach out if you need help getting started.

For outrights, I typically allot 1.5 to 2 units, sometimes more for bigger events. Overall, though, this strategy prevents me from chasing, knowing that I’m positioned to profit if I can hit 5-6 outrights a season. Anything beyond that is gravy. It also helps me stake bets to a flat “to win” amount regardless of their outright price.

*Travelers Championship Betting Picks- Betting lines are accurate at the time of publication in Discord.

Noonan’s Travelers Championship Betting Picks – Outright Bets

Collin Morikawa (30/1)

I’m back on Collin Morikawa again this week after he was the only one on last week’s card to really fight into the weekend. A few poorly-timed chips hurt an otherwise solid tee-to-green showing for Morikawa, who continues to move around the golf course like he’s healthy after his back injury in early March. His track record at TPC River Highlands is surprisingly poor, but he’s fared well on some of this week’s comp courses, and his strong wedge play and elite accuracy off the tee play well at courses like that where precision is a prerequisite.

Morikawa grades out well in a few key stats for me this week, including GIR% on short courses with small greens, and Good Drive% when there’s a high missed fairway penalty. I continue to believe he should be priced in the low-to-mid 20s on the odds board, but we’re getting a discount due to the perceived uncertainty surrounding his health.

Justin Thomas (33/1)

There’s definitely a theme to my card this week. I’m honing in on some of the PGA Tour’s best and most consistent wedge players, because TPC River Highlands offers plenty of scoring opportunities to the field if you’re dialed in from 150 yards and in. Over the past three starts at TPC River Highlands, Justin Thomas has given himself a scoring opportunity inside 15 feet on 29.7% of his approach shots, which ranks fifth in this week’s field. He’s also tied with Scottie Scheffler for the second-lowest bogey rate (7.4%) here over the same time frame. A high rate of birdie looks combined with very few bogeys is a great recipe for success.

That combination has landed Thomas inside the top 10 (T9, T5, T9) in three straight starts in Connecticut. That blends well with his recent run of form, which includes six straight T23 or better finishes dating back to Doral in early May. He continues a trend of playing outstanding golf in three of the four rounds each start, but I’m willing to pay 33/1 for him here with the hopes of that ending. He has to be confident rolling the rock right now after gaining strokes on the greens in all four rounds at Shinnecock.

Russell Henley (40/1)

I’m willing to pretend last week didn’t exist for some, though I’m thankful it happened, since we’re now getting Russell Henley at 40/1 on a course perfectly suited to his game. Henley was very much in the mix at last year’s event after firing a 61 on Saturday, and he entered play on Sunday three shots back, tied for second with Keegan Bradley.

Dating back to the start of the 2024 season, Henley’s gained an average of 1.34 strokes per round at TPC River Highlands and its comp courses, trailing only Scottie Scheffler (2.48) and Tommy Fleetwood (1.39). Just a few weeks ago, Henley won at Colonial CC, a spot that also demands precision off the tee and elite iron play. You guys know me. I would’ve been interested in Henley at a much shorter price this week, so I was pleased to see him available at 40/1.

J.J. Spaun (55/1)

Sure, J.J. Spaun is a major champion. That happened, and no one can take that away from him. But his 2026 major championship resume leaves a lot to be desired (0-3 on made cuts). Let’s leave that on the side and look at how he’s played recently in non-major championships.

Dating back to the Valero Texas Open back in early April, Spaun has made six starts. His worst finish is a T25 at Harbour Town. He’s gone first, T25, T14, T5, T6, and T12. Four of those six events were Signature Events, so it’s not like he can only pick on future “Track 2” Tour Pros. He’s just struggled a bit in the majors, and now he’s a screaming value after last week’s missed cut. Spaun finished seventh in my Rabbit Hole model this week, including second in both SG: APP on short courses and SG: Comp Courses.

Brian Harman (92/1)

I’ll be honest. I root against Brian Harman often. I just can’t handle the waggles, folks. A few here and there are fine, but the 10+ waggles are just so aggressive. Hit the ball!

But I’m an adult, and this number is bonkers. Harman has finished inside the top 10 in five straight and seven of his past eight starts at TPC River Highlands. That’s about as good as it gets from a course history standpoint, especially without a win.

Harman’s also shown a pulse of late after a slow start to the 2026 season. He entered the weekend at Shinnecock Hills in a tie for 11th place but shot 73-73 on the weekend and finished T32. His best finishes this season have come on shorter, positional comp courses like Pebble Beach (T19), Sawgrass (T11), Harbour Town (T25), and Colonial (T22).