BetspertsGolf
2 months ago
Scottie Scheffler is set to miss the cut at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, the world number one’s first weekend off in nearly four years. After an opening 68, Scheffler shot a 2-over 72 on Friday at The Renaissance Club to sit at even par, two shots outside a projected cut line of 2 under. The result ends a run of 78 straight events in which he made the cut, a streak that dated back to the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship.
It is one of the longest cut streaks in PGA Tour history, and it snaps at the worst possible time on the calendar, seven days before Scheffler defends his Open Championship title at Royal Birkdale.
The short answer is a ball-striking week that never showed up. Scheffler hit only 11 of 26 fairways across his two rounds and found just 23 of 36 greens, and he lost close to two full strokes on approach, the category that normally carries his game. At a wide, gettable Renaissance Club where the leaders were racing into red figures, even par simply was not close to good enough.

His Friday told the story. Scheffler made the turn with a chance to play his way inside the number, then leaked shots coming home as the birdies that filled the top of the board never arrived for him. He last missed a cut at the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship, roughly 1,428 days ago, a stretch that covered three of his major wins and a rise to a stranglehold on the world number one ranking.
Scheffler made 78 consecutive cuts before this week, one of the longest streaks the PGA Tour has tracked in the modern era. To put the run in context, it stood far clear of any active player, and it held through every kind of setup, from birdie-fests to major-championship survival tests. A benign links tune-up event, of all places, is where it finally ended.
Streaks like this are not really about avoiding weekends off. They are a measure of how rarely an elite player has a genuinely bad week, and for almost four years Scheffler essentially did not have one. That is the part that makes this newsworthy. The floor everyone assumed was bolted down finally gave.

Here is where bettors should keep their heads. Scheffler remains the clear favorite for next week’s Open Championship at Royal Birkdale, priced around +430 to +550 depending on the book, and a missed cut in a no-consequence tune-up does very little to change that case. He is the defending champion, and a win at Birkdale would make him the first back-to-back Open winner since Padraig Harrington in 2007 and 2008, whose second title also came at Royal Birkdale.
Still, this is a real data point rather than nothing. Scheffler entered the week as the Scottish Open favorite near +445 and never threatened, and the approach numbers that slipped are the exact numbers his whole profile is built on. If you were already looking for a reason to play against the shortest price in the field at a major, a cold ball-striking week gives you a sliver of one. The counter, and it is a strong one, is that Scheffler now gets four unplanned days of rest and range time before a championship he has already proven he can win. Fade him at your own risk.
For this week, the read is simple. Any live Scheffler position at the Scottish Open, outright or in DFS, is dead, and his salary comes off the board for weekend lineups. The more useful move is to reweight your Open Championship model now, while the market is still digesting the news. If you believe the missed cut is noise, his Birkdale number is unlikely to get much longer than this, so there is little edge in waiting. If you believe the approach slump is signal, this is the moment to build lineups and outright cards around the next tier of names before those prices firm up.
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The Genesis Scottish Open cuts to the top 65 and ties after 36 holes. The projected line landed at 2 under this year, and Scheffler finished two shots the wrong side of it at even par, which is why his weekend ended on Friday.
Not in any meaningful way. Scheffler holds such a wide lead atop the Official World Golf Ranking that a single missed cut does not threaten his number one spot. He will still be the top-ranked player in the field when the Open Championship begins at Royal Birkdale on July 16.

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