Jon Rahm 2026 U.S. Open Odds, Form, and DFS Outlook

Jon Rahm arrives at the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills as one of the betting favorites at +1400, trailing only Scottie Scheffler at +550 and Rory McIlroy at +1000. The 2021 U.S. Open champion comes in off a runner-up finish at the 2026 PGA Championship, his best major result in two years, and shapes up as the strongest LIV Golf threat in the field.

Jon Rahm 2026 U.S. Open odds

Rahm sits at +1400 to win the 2026 U.S. Open, the third-shortest price on the board. That keeps him inside the top tier of contenders and ahead of the bulk of the field. The number reflects both his pedigree as a two-time major champion and his form on the way to Shinnecock.

Player	2026 U.S. Open odds
Scottie Scheffler	+550
Rory McIlroy	+1000
Jon Rahm	+1400
Xander Schauffele	+1600
Tommy Fleetwood	+1800

Odds were sampled this week and can move before the first round, so confirm the current number at your book before betting.

Why Jon Rahm is a live U.S. Open contender

Rahm is trending in the right direction at the right time. He shot a closing 68 to finish runner-up at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink, three strokes behind champion Aaron Rai. That was his best finish in a major since the 2023 Open Championship, and it ended a long stretch in which he had rarely been in true contention on the game’s biggest stages since joining LIV Golf.

The bigger picture is just as strong. Rahm has led LIV Golf’s individual points race this season and added a win at LIV Golf Mexico City in April, so the underlying ball-striking that made him World No. 1 has not gone anywhere. He is a two-time major champion, having won the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines and the 2023 Masters, and the U.S. Open setup has long suited his blend of power and control.

Shinnecock fits that profile. Players who have scouted the course this week, including Scheffler and McIlroy, have described the fairways as surprisingly generous, with the real defense coming from firm, sloping green complexes. A wide-but-demanding test rewards elite iron play and patience, two of Rahm’s calling cards.

Jon Rahm betting and DFS angle

For outright bettors, +1400 is a fair price on a former U.S. Open champion in improving form, though it offers less cushion than the longer numbers further down the board. A top-five or top-10 finish market is the safer way to back his consistency if you want to fade the volatility of a major-championship Sunday.

In DFS, Rahm projects as a premium-salary anchor. With LIV players eligible at the majors, he is one of the highest-priced names in the pool, and his combination of a high floor and proven major ceiling makes him a strong cash-game play and a defensible tournament anchor. The question for large-field lineups is ownership, since a popular favorite eats into leverage, so pairing him with a lower-owned mid-tier contender is the cleaner build.

For more on the man he is chasing, see our look at Scottie Scheffler‘s career Grand Slam bid at Shinnecock, and our breakdown of how the USGA plans to set up Shinnecock Hills.

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Jon Rahm 2026 U.S. Open FAQ

When does the 2026 U.S. Open start?

The 2026 U.S. Open is scheduled for June 18 to 21 at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York. It is the third major of the men’s season.

Is Jon Rahm eligible for the U.S. Open as a LIV Golf player?

Yes. Rahm is exempt into the field as a past U.S. Open and Masters champion, so unlike many LIV players he did not need to go through qualifying. His exemptions carry him into Shinnecock regardless of his tour status.

Who is favored over Jon Rahm at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Only Scottie Scheffler at +550 and Rory McIlroy at +1000 carry shorter odds than Rahm’s +1400. He is the clear third choice and the top-priced LIV Golf player in the field.

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