Andy Molitor
a year ago
You can’t take ’em with you! It’s starting to enter my thoughts a bit, but just because you have a “bigger” name available, doesn’t always mean it’s the right play. Running through the stats you think matter and properly vetting your candidates is always the right way to go, no matter who you may leave on the table after it’s done. Just three weeks left!
Smaller purse and full field again like last week, and another one where the winner hasn’t always been in form coming in.
Purse: $8.2 million, winner’s share $1.476 million
As I said, guys haven’t always been in form coming in, so maybe it’s worth looking at those who have had outstanding weeks rather than just boring old cut-making efficiency this week. This is the past 12 months of golf, sorted by who’s managed to top ten the most. Some bigger names, including last week’s winner, but also a fun splash of Matti Schmid and Lee Hodges, who definetly fit the bill of what I was looking for, as they both miss the cut 40%+.

Been talked about plenty, but this is certainly an accuracy course off the tee and we’ve seen some golfers play quite a bit differently when they aren’t asked to hit driver 14 times a round and are able to pull out some other clubs that they are perhaps a bit more precise with. Sorted by SG:TOT over the past 12 months, this is data pulled strictly from tournaments where “less than driver” is prevalent. As always, you’ll usually find someone near the top of the betting board (Ben Griffin), but if you’re looking for a unique name this week, there’s a ton of that here as well.

I wasn’t really sure I wanted to dig too far into short game on Bermuda, as this is a low scoring event with a very high GIR%. If you’re relying heavily on ARG play here, you’re battling with the cutline, not the leaders. So, we’ll just look at boring old approach stats as a vessel to finding golfers who will score in bunches here. I filtered the data to exclude rounds where GIR% was classified as difficult, and sorted it by overall proximity to the hole. Truly a list of longshots (but worth considering for betting and DFS)

I’m not 100% sure what the move is for leaders here, but with the late season resurgance of Matt Fitzpatrick, the chalk here isn’t terribly scary. His driving accuracy has been middling, but if you look at “less than driver” rounds, he’s quite a bit better. The same can be said for Ben Griffin if he’s someone you’ve managed to save this long.
Lucas Glover
Robert MacIntyre
Si Woo Kim
Christiaan Bezuidenhout