Tour Championship Consensus Rankings
Andy Molitor
20 days ago
Last weeks results:
2026 BMW Championship | Model Accuracy Report
Mean absolute error across the 50-man playoff field · betspertsgolf.com
Ron Klos
13.68
Median: 11.2
Most accurate overall
Pat Mayo
14.04
Median: 12.0
2nd overall
Ryan Noonan
14.46
Median: 14.2
Andy Molitor
15.92
Median: 13.5
Top 20 finishers only — who called the contenders best?
| Ranker | MAE | Median |
|---|---|---|
| Ron Klos | 13.57 ✓ | 11.0 |
| Noonan | 14.05 | 14.0 |
| Pat Mayo | 14.86 | 12.5 |
| Andy Molitor | 15.81 | 10.5 |
Best individual calls (top 30, error ≤ 5)
Shared misses (top 20, all rankers off 25+)
Sungjae Im — finished T10
Nobody had him inside the top 37
Ron: 37th · Noonan: 44th · Andy: 44th · Mayo: 43rd
Just one shared miss all week — the models were locked in. Only outlier at the top: Michael Brennan finished T10 while Andy had him 1st, the boldest call that paid off. Sam Burns (consensus top 10) fading to T28 and Cameron Young (top 9) to T37 were the priciest overshoots, but both finished outside the top-20 filter.
betspertsgolf.com · 50-man playoff field, no cut · Most accurate week of the season · Tied finishes averaged
The most accurate week of the season (because there just aren’t that many golfers). A concentrated 50-man playoff field of players everyone knows well plus a chalky leaderboard (Clark, Cantlay, Rory, Morikawa all up top) made this the easiest week to call. Ron wins both overall (13.68) and the top 20 (13.57).
The standout call: Andy had Michael Brennan 1st and he finished T10, the boldest swing on the board, and it landed. Wyndham Clark winning was well-flagged too, top-5 for both Andy and Mayo.
Only one shared miss all week: Sungjae Im finishing T10 while everyone had him 37th or worse. The models’ priciest overshoots were Sam Burns (consensus top-10, finished T28) and Cameron Young (top-9, finished T37), but both landed outside the top-20-finishers filter so they don’t show in the misses box.
Tour Championship Consensus Rankings
| # | Player | Ron Klos | Ryan Noonan | Andy Molitor | Pat Mayo | Avg Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 |
| 2 | Patrick Cantlay | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4.50 |
| 3 | Sam Burns | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 5.00 |
| 4 | Ludvig Aberg | 4 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 5.50 |
| 5 | Collin Morikawa | 6 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 7.75 |
| 6 | Wyndham Clark | 5 | 5 | 19 | 6 | 8.75 |
| 7 | Si Woo Kim | 10 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 9.00 |
| 8 | Xander Schauffele | 8 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 10.25 |
| 9 | Chris Gotterup | 14 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 11.25 |
| 10 | Cameron Young | 13 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 11.25 |
| 11 | Tommy Fleetwood | 11 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 12.00 |
| 12 | Rory McIlroy | 2 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 12.00 |
| 13 | Tom Kim | 23 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 13.00 |
| 14 | J.J. Spaun | 17 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 13.75 |
| 15 | Russell Henley | 9 | 15 | 22 | 11 | 14.25 |
| 16 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 15 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 15.25 |
| 17 | Alex Fitzpatrick | 27 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 17.50 |
| 18 | Viktor Hovland | 12 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 17.50 |
| 19 | Alex Smalley | 19 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 17.75 |
| 20 | Gary Woodland | 20 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 18.50 |
| 21 | Hideki Matsuyama | 18 | 14 | 23 | 23 | 19.50 |
| 22 | Ryan Gerard | 28 | 18 | 24 | 9 | 19.75 |
| 23 | Adam Scott | 26 | 24 | 10 | 22 | 20.50 |
| 24 | Justin Rose | 24 | 26 | 13 | 24 | 21.75 |
| 25 | Robert MacIntyre | 16 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 23.00 |
| 26 | Jacob Bridgeman | 21 | 21 | 29 | 28 | 24.75 |
| 27 | Kristoffer Reitan | 25 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 26.00 |
| 28 | Ryan Fox | 29 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27.75 |
| 29 | Akshay Bhatia | 22 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28.00 |
| 30 | Min Woo Lee | 30 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 28.25 |