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The Open Championship Consensus Rankings

Andy Molitor

Andy Molitor

a month ago

a month ago

The Open Championship Consensus Rankings

Recap from last week:

2026 Genesis Scottish Open  |  Model Accuracy Report
Mean absolute error across the ranked field  ·  betspertsgolf.com
Ryan Noonan
41.16
Median: 36.2

Most accurate overall

Andy Molitor
43.51
Median: 38.5

2nd overall

Pat Mayo
43.82
Median: 38.5
Ron Klos
44.18
Median: 40.5
Top 20 finishers only — who called the contenders best?
Ranker MAE Median
Ryan Noonan 31.55 ✓ 24.5
Andy Molitor 34.39 30.5
Ron Klos 43.05 18.5
Pat Mayo 43.55 31.8
Best individual calls  (top 30, error ≤ 5)
AndyMichael Thorbjornsen
Ranked 8 → T7
MayoSi Woo Kim
Ranked 9 → T9
RonMatt Fitzpatrick
Ranked 3 → T3
NoonanTommy Fleetwood
Ranked 13 → T13
RonViktor Hovland
Ranked 16 → T13
RonWyndham Clark
Ranked 12 → T13
MayoRory McIlroy
Ranked 3 → T7
NoonanRyan Gerard
Ranked 31 → T26
Shared misses  (top 20, all rankers off 25+)
Alejandro Del Rey — finished T17
Nobody had him inside the top 100
Ron: 106th  ·  Noonan: 118th  ·  Andy: 101st  ·  Mayo: 116th
Francesco Molinari — finished T17
Nobody had him inside the top 74
Ron: 122nd  ·  Noonan: 95th  ·  Andy: 74th  ·  Mayo: 98th
Tom Kim — won the tournament
The champion was buried on every board
Ron: 15th  ·  Noonan: 24th  ·  Andy: 61st  ·  Mayo: 24th
betspertsgolf.com  ·  Cut players assigned positions after all finishers  ·  Tied finishes averaged

The story of the week: Tom Kim won while sitting 15th-61st on the boards, and the two biggest names everyone loved — Scheffler at unanimous #1 and Aberg top-6 — both missed the cut entirely. That combination pushed every MAE into the 40s. Noonan takes the week both overall (41.16) and on the top 20 (31.55).

 

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