HomeGolf BettingThe Mexico Open at Vidanta – 2026 Preview

The Mexico Open at Vidanta – 2026 Preview

Ron Klos

Ron Klos

a day ago

a day ago

The Mexico Open at Vidanta – 2026 Preview

After a weather-shortened finish in Bermuda that saw Austin Smotherman win his second straight tournament, the PGA Tour heads south of the border for the Mexico Open. Dating back to 1944, the Mexico Open has quite a historical past and has been considered Mexico’s national championship. Located a few miles off the Pacific coast near the town of Puerto Vallarta, the Vidanta Vallarta Resort (one of the highest-rated hotels in Mexico) and its “Signature Course” designed by Greg Norman will host this event for the fifth time. Holes wind along the banks of the Ameca River and provide scenic views of the Sierra Madre mountains.

Through its first four editions at Vidanta Vallarta (2022–2025), the Mexico Open has gone from star winners to breakthrough winners. Jon Rahm won as a heavy favorite in 2022, edging Tony Finau, Brandon Wu and Kurt Kitayama by a stroke, and a year later Finau got revenge by three over Rahm. Since then, the event has produced first-time winners: Jake Knapp claimed his maiden Tour win in 2024, and Brian Campbell won in 2025 at 20-under in a playoff over Aldrich Potgieter.

Vidanta Vallarta rewards power. The Greg Norman design plays to 7,337 yards this year, roughly 120 yards shorter than in 2025, but it remains a long par-71. Its wide fairways and lack of penal rough still let bombers swing freely with little cost for a miss. Elite iron play, especially from over 200 yards, has been just as important. Rahm and Finau both hit 80 percent of their greens, and Knapp ranked first in the field in both SG: Approach and SG: Tee-to-Green, while past winners have rarely needed difficult up-and-downs. As at most oceanside resort courses, a proven record in coastal winds and comfort on the wall-to-wall Paspalum also go a long way. Scoring has been low, ranging from 17-under to Finau’s record of 24-under, and the shorter setup could push it lower still.

The Field

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The 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open features a 120-player field headlined by Wyndham Clark, Ben Griffin, Tom Kim and defending champion Brian Campbell. The tournament returns to the fall portion of the PGA Tour schedule, with players competing at Vidanta Vallarta for a $6 million purse and 500 FedExCup points. Clark enters as one of the biggest names in the field following his 2026 U.S. Open victory, while Tony Finau returns to the site of his 2023 win.

The field also includes several established Tour winners, including Max Homa, Lucas Glover, Akshay Bhatia, Nico Echavarria and Nick Dunlap. Homa brings six career Tour victories, while Griffin, Bhatia and Echavarria have each established themselves as multiple winners. Rasmus Hojgaard adds international experience as a member of Europe’s victorious 2025 Ryder Cup team, and Corey Conners, Marco Penge and Harry Hall provide additional depth among the higher-ranked players. Rising prospects Blades Brown, Ryder Cowan and John Daly II also add youth and international interest to the field.

With the FedExCup Fall approaching its final stretch, the Mexico Open offers an important opportunity for players to improve their standings and strengthen their position heading into the 2027 season.

Finish Position and Strokes Gained History at Vidanta Vallarta (2022-2025)

Course History at Vidanta Vallarta

Click a column header to sort, and click again to reverse. Missed cut = 100. WD not counted in Avg Finish. SG: TOT is the total over all rounds at the course; the other SG columns are per round.

Vidanta Vallarta
Mexico Open
Finish Position Strokes Gained
Tony Finau 13 1 2 5.3 12 39.02 3.25 2.99 2.37 0.76 1.61 0.62 0.26
Patrick Rodgers 25 6 10 10 12.8 16 32.09 2.01 1.63 1.59 1.13 0.46 0.04 0.37
Alejandro Tosti 10 100 10 40.0 10 16.56 1.66 2.03 1.55 0.61 0.95 0.48 -0.37
Emiliano Grillo 65 33 5 33 34.0 16 16.09 1.01 0.35 0.88 0.31 0.57 -0.52 0.65
Harry Hall 34 33 10 25.7 12 15.31 1.28 0.98 0.15 0.01 0.14 0.83 0.29
Andrew Novak 8 49 15 24.0 12 15.02 1.25 1.74 1.03 -0.30 1.32 0.72 -0.49
Aldrich Potgieter 2 2.0 4 14.07 3.52 1.22 1.37 1.21 0.16 -0.14 2.29
Brian Campbell 1 1.0 4 14.07 3.52 3.06 1.69 0.22 1.47 1.37 0.46
Chan Kim 17 8 12.5 8 13.67 1.71 0.06 0.28 0.24 0.04 -0.22 1.65
Isaiah Salinda 3 3.0 4 13.07 3.27 2.00 1.90 1.16 0.74 0.10 1.27
Kevin Roy 17 18 17.5 8 12.71 1.59 1.42 1.19 0.84 0.34 0.24 0.17
Ben Griffin 4 100 52.0 6 12.24 2.04 0.81 0.74 -0.06 0.80 0.07 1.23
Dylan Wu 24 15 100 46.3 10 11.41 1.14 0.83 0.66 0.32 0.34 0.16 0.31
Joel Dahmen 6 6.0 4 11.07 2.77 1.60 1.75 0.52 1.22 -0.14 1.16
Aaron Wise 6 6.0 4 10.78 2.70 2.58 2.02 0.08 1.94 0.56 0.11
C.T. Pan 68 3 29 33.3 12 10.45 0.87 0.97 0.64 0.24 0.40 0.33 -0.10
Erik van Rooyen 59 8 33 33.3 12 10.31 0.86 0.97 1.27 0.34 0.93 -0.30 -0.11
Mark Hubbard 48 18 51 39.0 12 9.02 0.75 0.68 0.06 -0.33 0.38 0.63 0.07
Davis Riley 100 100 5 68.3 8 8.60 1.08 -0.46 -0.10 0.40 -0.49 -0.36 1.53
Doug Ghim 8 100 33 47.0 10 8.34 0.83 1.42 1.42 0.40 1.02 0.00 -0.59
Chandler Phillips 34 24 29.0 8 7.67 0.96 0.82 0.46 -0.33 0.79 0.36 0.14
Aaron Baddeley 34 24 39 100 49.2 14 7.48 0.53 -0.55 -1.18 -1.15 -0.03 0.63 1.08
Brice Garnett 33 33 33.0 8 7.42 0.93 1.07 0.39 0.24 0.14 0.69 -0.15
Justin Lower 100 3 64 55.7 10 7.35 0.73 -0.15 -0.18 -0.11 -0.07 0.03 0.88
Danny Walker 13 13.0 4 7.07 1.77 1.93 1.14 0.96 0.18 0.79 -0.16
Beau Hossler 100 10 55.0 6 6.61 1.10 0.89 0.86 0.72 0.14 0.03 0.21
Steven Fisk 17 17.0 4 6.07 1.52 1.34 0.89 1.16 -0.27 0.45 0.18
Andrew Putnam 49 24 100 57.7 10 5.88 0.59 0.09 0.16 -0.42 0.57 -0.06 0.50
Rafael Campos 34 38 36.0 8 5.67 0.71 0.01 0.35 0.38 -0.03 -0.34 0.70
Ben Silverman 100 13 56.5 6 5.57 0.93 -0.77 -1.32 0.32 -1.64 0.54 1.70
Kris Ventura 25 25.0 4 5.07 1.27 0.93 1.27 0.55 0.72 -0.34 0.34
Hayden Springer 45 38 41.5 8 4.67 0.58 0.63 0.77 0.36 0.40 -0.14 -0.04
Alvaro Ortiz 100 13 100 42 63.8 12 4.31 0.36 -0.03 -0.24 -0.26 0.02 0.21 0.39
Takumi Kanaya 32 32.0 4 4.07 1.02 -0.14 0.09 0.13 -0.04 -0.23 1.16
Joe Highsmith 17 100 58.5 6 3.92 0.65 0.46 0.71 0.00 0.71 -0.26 0.19
Austin Eckroat 38 49 43.5 8 3.24 0.40 0.90 0.69 0.14 0.54 0.21 -0.50
Blades Brown 34 34.0 4 3.07 0.77 0.66 0.81 -0.02 0.83 -0.15 0.11
Rasmus Hojgaard 34 34.0 4 3.07 0.77 -0.83 -0.81 -0.12 -0.69 -0.02 1.59
Ben Martin 45 46 100 63.7 10 2.88 0.29 0.26 0.11 -0.49 0.60 0.15 0.03
Will Gordon 100 24 62.0 6 2.61 0.43 0.81 0.90 0.90 0.00 -0.09 -0.38
Jimmy Stanger 38 38.0 4 2.60 0.65 1.23 1.42 1.75 -0.33 -0.20 -0.58
Wyndham Clark 24 67 45.5 8 2.42 0.30 0.07 0.05 -0.43 0.48 0.02 0.23
Taylor Moore 34 100 67.0 6 2.24 0.37 0.05 -0.55 0.52 -1.06 0.60 0.32
Kevin Yu 45 45.0 4 2.07 0.52 1.04 1.62 0.39 1.24 -0.58 -0.52
Chad Ramey 34 33 100 55.7 10 1.84 0.18 0.42 -0.01 -0.32 0.31 0.43 -0.24
Jesper Svensson 49 49.0 4 1.07 0.27 0.44 1.60 1.68 -0.08 -1.16 -0.17
Max Greyserman WD 1 0.55 0.55 3.56 3.19 0.70 2.49 0.37 -3.01
Taylor Pendrith 100 30 65.0 6 0.49 0.08 -0.30 -0.27 -0.49 0.22 -0.04 0.38
Omar Morales 100 100 100.0 4 -0.19 -0.05 0.17 0.27 0.64 -0.37 -0.09 -0.22
Zecheng Dou 100 49 74.5 6 -0.51 -0.09 -0.36 -0.81 0.31 -1.12 0.45 0.27
Jeffrey Kang 100 100.0 2 -0.83 -0.42 0.72 -0.30 0.66 -0.96 1.02 -1.13
Patton Kizzire 100 100 100 100.0 6 -1.22 -0.20 0.23 0.15 0.03 0.12 0.08 -0.44
Hank Lebioda 100 29 64.5 6 -1.26 -0.21 -1.16 -1.47 -0.36 -1.11 0.31 0.95
David Lipsky 76 100 60 6 60.5 14 -1.66 -0.12 0.10 0.83 -0.23 1.06 -0.73 -0.22
Gerardo Gomez 100 100.0 2 -2.03 -1.01 -0.09 -0.20 0.24 -0.44 0.11 -0.92
Jackson Suber 100 100.0 2 -2.03 -1.01 0.06 -0.15 -0.74 0.58 0.21 -1.08
William Mouw 100 100.0 2 -2.03 -1.01 -2.02 -2.00 0.04 -2.04 -0.02 1.00
Rico Hoey 100 100 100.0 4 -3.18 -0.80 0.88 1.40 1.03 0.37 -0.52 -1.68
Kevin Streelman 100 67 83.5 6 -3.26 -0.54 0.28 0.86 0.61 0.25 -0.58 -0.82
Trace Crowe 60 60.0 4 -3.40 -0.85 -2.18 -1.09 -0.17 -0.92 -1.09 1.33
Camilo Villegas 100 100 100.0 4 -3.87 -0.97 -0.10 -0.28 0.21 -0.49 0.18 -0.87
David Skinns 100 100 51 83.7 8 -4.40 -0.55 0.34 0.34 -0.18 0.52 0.00 -0.89
Garrick Higgo 60 100 80.0 6 -4.44 -0.74 -0.59 -0.87 0.31 -1.18 0.28 -0.15
Adam Svensson 59 100 79.5 6 -4.76 -0.79 -0.54 -0.69 -0.13 -0.56 0.15 -0.25
Max McGreevy 25 100 100 75.0 8 -4.80 -0.60 -0.95 -0.83 -0.32 -0.52 -0.12 0.35
Patrick Fishburn 100 100 100.0 4 -5.18 -1.30 -0.52 -0.91 -0.30 -0.61 0.39 -0.78
Karl Vilips 72 72.0 4 -5.93 -1.48 -1.66 -0.68 -0.88 0.20 -0.98 0.18
Paul Peterson 100 100.0 2 -6.03 -3.02 -2.18 -2.91 -0.85 -2.06 0.72 -0.83
Zach Bauchou 100 100.0 2 -6.04 -3.02 -3.09 -1.10 -0.83 -0.27 -1.99 0.06
Lee Hodges 73 51 62.0 8 -6.58 -0.82 -0.30 0.46 0.27 0.20 -0.76 -0.53
Peter Malnati 68 100 15 61.0 10 -7.19 -0.72 -0.24 -0.80 -1.00 0.20 0.56 -0.48
Pierceson Coody WD 1 -7.45 -7.45 -7.64 -5.88 -3.93 -1.96 -1.76 0.19
Mac Meissner 100 100 100.0 4 -8.18 -2.04 0.15 -0.75 -0.12 -0.63 0.90 -2.20
Mackenzie Hughes 100 100.0 2 -9.15 -4.58 -3.34 -4.60 -1.42 -3.19 1.27 -1.24
Tyler Duncan 100 100 100.0 4 -9.98 -2.50 -1.27 -0.88 -0.54 -0.34 -0.39 -1.23
Adrien Dumont de Chassart 100 100.0 2 -10.15 -5.08 -3.17 -1.55 -0.03 -1.52 -1.61 -1.91
Harry Higgs 74 100 87.0 6 -10.97 -1.83 -1.09 -0.46 0.38 -0.84 -0.62 -0.74
Vince Whaley 100 100 100 100.0 6 -13.01 -2.17 -1.34 -2.31 -0.05 -2.26 0.97 -0.83
Santiago de la Fuente 65 46 100 70.3 10 -15.16 -1.52 -0.77 -0.52 0.24 -0.76 -0.25 -0.75

Course Features

Tucked along the banks of the Ameca River, between the beaches of Nuevo Vallarta and the resort town of Puerto Vallarta, sits Greg Norman’s “Signature Course” at Vidanta Vallarta. The layout opened in 2015 and looks out on the Sierra Madre mountains, with Banderas Bay off to the southwest. Parota trees, native grasses and pockets of thick jungle frame most of the holes.

You won’t see a house or a storefront anywhere on the property. The course sits by itself on a quiet piece of tropical land, and players get there by crossing the Ameca on the world’s longest golf cart suspension bridge, which connects the states of Nayarit and Jalisco. As he did at TPC San Antonio and El Camaleón, Norman built the design around its natural setting: water, native plants, small changes in elevation and long views of the surrounding landscape. The land itself is fairly flat, but every one of those other elements shows up here.

As Norman said in his own words, “When designing this course, respecting and promoting the conservation of ecologically sensitive areas was of primary concern. As a result, routing was dictated by nature, according to dense vegetation corridors, streams, and wetlands.”

This year brings the biggest changes Vidanta has seen since the PGA Tour arrived in 2022. It’s the first time the event has been played in the fall, after two late April dates and two in February. The course was also reworked after Brian Campbell’s playoff win last year. The routing was shuffled so the 18th, 9th, 1st and 10th holes now sit closer together, and four holes were renovated. The par 4 4th was lengthened and turned into a slight right to left dogleg, with new fairway bunkers and a new green guarded by sand on the front right. New fairway bunkers on the par 5 8th give players more options off the tee and make it more of a risk and reward hole. The par 3 17th now plays in a stadium setting, and the par 4 18th has a new landing area between two lakes plus new greenside bunkers.

The official scorecard lists Vidanta Vallarta as a par 71 at 7,337 yards, about 120 yards shorter than last year. It still has an unusual makeup, with five par 3s, four par 5s and only nine par 4s. Even with the lost yardage, it’s a long walk. Six of the par 4s measure at least 455 yards, two of the par 3s go over 225, and all four par 5s are 548 yards or longer. That’s why roughly 35 percent of approach shots here have historically come from beyond 200 yards, nearly double the Tour average. Approaches also tend to finish a long way from the hole. Vidanta ranked first, second and third in proximity to the hole in its first three years on Tour.

Unlike most resort courses, the first four years of this tournament haven’t produced a birdie fest. The sample size is small, but the course sits near the middle of the pack for scoring difficulty. In 2024 it ranked 21st hardest out of 50 courses, with a scoring average of 70.07. Winning scores have ranged from Jon Rahm’s 17 under in 2022 to Tony Finau’s record 24 under in 2023. The one real breather is the drivable 297 yard par 4, which has been the easiest par 4 on the PGA Tour every season since the event began. It now plays as the 13th.

Along with its length, the coastal wind is one of the course’s main defenses. With the Pacific just down the road, crosswinds usually pick up around 11 a.m. on most days. Jon Rahm had this to say about the effects of the wind. “There’s a big difference between morning and afternoon. We had no wind for 13, 14 holes, and it was very scorable. Once the wind starts going 20-30 miles an hour, this golf course starts showing some teeth. It’s long. You have a couple really long par 4s. 4 and 8 are straight into the wind. Both of them 500 yards. So you can start seeing higher scores out there.” Rahm was talking about the original routing, so the hole numbers he mentions don’t match this year’s card.

There are also 12 holes with water in play (fifth most on Tour), 55 bunkers, several large sandy waste areas and patches of native vegetation that can cause trouble. The fairways are some of the widest on Tour at around 41 yards on average, and the greens are large, averaging about 7,000 square feet. The course is covered wall to wall in Platinum Paspalum, a turf common on coastal courses and known for its stickiness. Drives won’t roll out much on the fairways, and approach shots stop quickly on the greens. Around the putting surfaces, the grabby turf takes away most bump and run options, so players have to fly the ball onto the green and control their chips. The rough is kept at 2.5 inches. That’s up from 1.5 inches in the first two years, when the tournament was played in the spring.

Green speed is worth watching this week. Last year the greens were prepared to top out around 11 on the Stimpmeter, which is slow by Tour standards. For daily resort play, though, they run between 11.5 and 12, and Vidanta has said a few adjustments could get them to 13 for the tournament. The course closed about three weeks before the event to get it ready. As of late last week, the forecast called for a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday, highs in the upper 80s and light wind around 7 mph all four days. If the storms do roll in, a softer course with little wind could lead to lower scores than we’ve seen in previous years.

Vidanta Correlations with SG: Total

Each stat correlated per round with SG: Total, 2022 to 2025, newer seasons weighted more. Higher is always better: stats where a lower number is better are flipped. +/- is course minus PGA TOUR average. Course Rank is this course among all PGA TOUR events on that stat. Impact: 50 = the stat comes up as often as at the average course, 100 = twice as often or more. Hover over an Impact score for how often the stat comes up here. Click a column header to sort.

Course Metric Correlation ChartVidanta VallartaMexico Open
1 SG: Tee-to-Green +0.826 +0.809 +0.017 10/46 51 1 Strokes Gained
2 Birdie to Bogey Ratio +0.806 +0.775 +0.031 20/41 4 Scoring
3 Bogey AvoidanceLower is better, flipped +0.792 +0.788 +0.004 19/46 48 3 Scoring
4 Birdie or Better % +0.758 +0.729 +0.029 11/46 56 5 Scoring
5 SG: Par 4s +0.750 +0.791 -0.042 42/46 42 2 Scoring
6 SG: Ball-Striking +0.727 +0.708 +0.020 11/46 52 7 Strokes Gained
7 SG: Short Game +0.698 +0.711 -0.013 30/46 48 6 Strokes Gained
8 SG: Approach the Green +0.616 +0.606 +0.010 16/46 52 8 Strokes Gained
9 Birdie or Better % – Fairway +0.610 +0.591 +0.019 18/46 50 10 Scoring
10 SG: Putting +0.598 +0.597 +0.001 19/46 48 9 Strokes Gained
11 Greens in Regulation % +0.579 +0.542 +0.036 4/46 50 12 Approach
12 SG: Par 3s +0.554 +0.463 +0.091 1/46 62 18 Scoring
13 Putting AverageLower is better, flipped +0.552 +0.563 -0.011 26/41 51 11 Putting
14 SG: Par 5s +0.538 +0.464 +0.074 7/46 65 17 Scoring
15 Par 4 BoB % +0.523 +0.540 -0.017 33/46 45 13 Scoring
16 SG: Par 4s 451-500 yds +0.508 +0.479 +0.029 18/45 59 16 Scoring
17 Scrambling +0.477 +0.487 -0.009 29/46 48 15 Around the Green
18 Par 5 BoB % +0.454 +0.384 +0.070 8/46 67 31 Scoring
19 Double Bogey %Lower is better, flipped +0.445 +0.408 +0.037 10/46 35 25 Scoring
20 SG: Off-the-Tee +0.433 +0.413 +0.019 16/46 53 22 Strokes Gained
21 SG: Putting per putt 10+ ft +0.424 +0.413 +0.010 16/46 49 23 Putting
22 Penalty %Lower is better, flipped +0.421 +0.340 +0.081 8/46 75 42 Scoring
23 SG: Putting per putt 5-15 ft +0.420 +0.413 +0.007 20/46 48 24 Putting
24 SG: Putting per putt Inside 10 ft +0.418 +0.417 +0.000 23/46 50 19 Putting
25 Going for the Green – Birdie or Better +0.417 +0.298 +0.119 2/46 77 53 Scoring
26 SG: Par 4s 401-450 yds +0.414 +0.504 -0.090 41/46 27 14 Scoring
27 SG: APP per shot from Tee (par 3s) +0.407 +0.306 +0.101 2/46 62 49 Approach
28 SG: APP per shot 151-200 yds +0.402 +0.365 +0.037 9/46 48 36 Approach
29 Cost of Right Miss OTTLower is better, flipped +0.401 +0.383 +0.018 11/46 41 32 Off the Tee
30 SG: APP per shot 200+ yds +0.398 +0.295 +0.103 2/46 75 56 Approach
31 SG: APP per shot from Fairway +0.394 +0.399 -0.005 26/46 47 26 Approach
32 Good Drive % +0.393 +0.414 -0.021 35/46 47 20 Off the Tee
33 Average Distance of Putts made +0.392 +0.391 +0.001 23/41 29 Putting
34 One-Putt % +0.389 +0.392 -0.003 26/46 51 28 Putting
35 Water Avoidance +0.384 +0.243 +0.141 8/44 96 75 Scoring
36 Putting from 5-15 +0.380 +0.386 -0.006 26/41 49 30 Putting
37 SG: Par 3s 176-200 yds +0.379 +0.308 +0.071 4/46 69 48 Scoring
38 SG: Around-the-Green +0.373 +0.398 -0.025 32/46 47 27 Strokes Gained
39 Putting – Inside 10 +0.371 +0.361 +0.010 18/41 50 37 Putting
40 Cost of Left Miss OTTLower is better, flipped +0.369 +0.374 -0.005 26/46 39 34 Off the Tee
41 Cost of RoughLower is better, flipped +0.368 +0.414 -0.046 41/46 39 21 Off the Tee
42 Putting from – > 10 +0.364 +0.360 +0.004 21/46 49 39 Putting
43 All approaches inside 15 ft % +0.363 +0.365 -0.002 26/46 50 35 Approach
44 Putts Made Per Round Over 10 +0.361 +0.347 +0.014 14/46 49 40 Putting
45 Par 3 BoB % +0.360 +0.290 +0.070 3/46 64 60 Scoring
46 SG: Par 5s 601+ yds +0.341 +0.295 +0.047 3/30 100 55 Scoring
47 SG: Par 5s 551-600 yds +0.337 +0.376 -0.040 24/43 39 33 Scoring
48 SG: Par 4s 501+ yds +0.330 +0.323 +0.007 10/31 100 44 Scoring
49 Proximity to HoleLower is better, flipped +0.326 +0.360 -0.034 40/46 38 Approach
50 SG: Par 3s 201-225 yds +0.325 +0.275 +0.050 2/46 56 65 Scoring
51 SG: APP per shot 201-250 yds +0.314 +0.238 +0.077 3/46 74 79 Approach
52 SG: Par 3s 151-175 yds +0.309 +0.262 +0.047 4/46 70 67 Scoring
53 SG: Putting per putt 4-8 ft +0.309 +0.289 +0.019 9/46 49 61 Putting
54 Scrambling from the Rough +0.307 +0.290 +0.016 13/46 52 59 Around the Green
55 SG: Putting per putt 5-10 ft +0.306 +0.310 -0.004 27/46 49 47 Putting
56 GIR % from Other than Fairway +0.305 +0.291 +0.014 15/46 40 58 Approach
57 GIR % from Fairway +0.305 +0.301 +0.004 21/46 51 52 Approach
58 Left Rough Tendency (RTP Score)Lower is better, flipped +0.303 +0.306 -0.003 23/41 50 Off the Tee
59 Putting from 4-8 +0.300 +0.289 +0.011 16/41 50 62 Putting
60 All approaches inside 10 ft % +0.298 +0.329 -0.031 41/46 50 43 Approach
61 Proximity to Hole (ARG)Lower is better, flipped +0.295 +0.225 +0.069 1/46 57 82 Around the Green
62 SG: Par 3s under 150 yds +0.293 +0.264 +0.028 7/34 85 66 Scoring
63 Scrambling from Short Grass +0.285 +0.314 -0.029 38/46 49 45 Around the Green
64 SG: Par 4s under 350 yds +0.285 +0.283 +0.002 14/36 81 64 Scoring
65 Right Rough Tendency (RTP Score)Lower is better, flipped +0.283 +0.313 -0.030 33/41 46 Off the Tee
66 Putting from 5-10 +0.282 +0.302 -0.020 36/46 49 51 Putting
67 3-Putt AvoidanceLower is better, flipped +0.281 +0.295 -0.014 26/46 45 54 Putting
68 Fairway ProximityLower is better, flipped +0.271 +0.292 -0.021 33/46 51 57 Approach
69 SG: Par 5s 501-550 yds +0.270 +0.343 -0.073 36/42 50 41 Scoring
70 OTT Water Balls %Lower is better, flipped +0.267 +0.167 +0.100 1/38 100 101 Off the Tee
71 APP Water Balls %Lower is better, flipped +0.266 +0.199 +0.068 12/44 74 90 Approach
72 SG: APP per shot from Rough +0.254 +0.248 +0.006 19/46 41 72 Approach
73 Birdie or Better % – Rough +0.253 +0.250 +0.003 23/46 54 71 Scoring
74 SG: Putting per putt 20+ ft +0.252 +0.242 +0.010 16/46 50 76 Putting
75 SG: ARG per shot from Rough +0.248 +0.215 +0.033 6/46 60 86 Around the Green
76 Sand Save % +0.246 +0.231 +0.015 14/46 44 81 Around the Green
77 SG: Putting per putt 10-15 ft +0.246 +0.242 +0.004 19/46 47 77 Putting
78 Putting from Inside 5 +0.240 +0.218 +0.022 10/46 50 84 Putting
79 Scrambling from > 30 yards +0.239 +0.243 -0.004 30/46 51 74 Around the Green
80 SG: APP per shot 250+ yds +0.237 +0.157 +0.080 1/46 77 104 Approach
81 Putting from – 10-15 +0.232 +0.236 -0.005 27/46 47 80 Putting
82 SG: APP per shot 101-150 yds +0.228 +0.288 -0.060 44/46 26 63 Approach
83 Putts Made Per Round Over 20 +0.227 +0.217 +0.011 11/46 85 Putting
84 SG: APP per shot from Other Lies +0.226 +0.146 +0.079 1/46 56 111 Approach
85 Eagle % +0.224 +0.177 +0.048 6/46 60 98 Scoring
86 All approaches inside 5 ft % +0.219 +0.240 -0.021 40/46 50 78 Approach
87 3-Putt Avoidance > 25Lower is better, flipped +0.218 +0.224 -0.006 27/46 51 83 Putting
88 SG: ARG per shot from Short Grass +0.217 +0.197 +0.019 11/46 59 91 Around the Green
89 SG: Putting per putt 3-5 ft +0.213 +0.190 +0.023 11/46 47 92 Putting
90 Putting from 3-5 +0.212 +0.189 +0.024 7/46 48 94 Putting
91 Bounce Back % +0.212 +0.254 -0.042 43/46 48 69 Scoring
92 Approaches from 175-200 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.208 +0.155 +0.053 6/46 62 107 Approach
93 Approaches 176-200 yds inside 15 ft % +0.207 +0.130 +0.077 2/46 57 125 Approach
94 Putting from – > 20 +0.206 +0.201 +0.004 20/41 50 89 Putting
95 Driving Accuracy % +0.205 +0.253 -0.047 42/46 47 70 Off the Tee
96 Putting from 15-25 +0.205 +0.210 -0.005 22/41 49 87 Putting
97 Total DrivingLower is better, flipped +0.202 +0.260 -0.058 45/46 68 Off the Tee
98 SG: ARG per shot from Bunker +0.201 +0.190 +0.011 14/46 42 93 Around the Green
99 Approaches from 150-175 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.196 +0.154 +0.043 3/46 49 108 Approach
100 Approaches 200+ yds inside 15 ft % +0.195 +0.125 +0.070 1/46 84 127 Approach
101 Hit Fairway % +0.194 +0.248 -0.053 42/46 46 73 Off the Tee
102 Driving Distance – All Drives +0.193 +0.156 +0.037 11/46 106 Off the Tee
103 Going for the Green +0.189 +0.159 +0.030 14/46 69 102 Approach
104 Approaches from 150-175 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.184 +0.108 +0.076 1/46 39 138 Approach
105 SG: Putting per putt 15-20 ft +0.179 +0.184 -0.005 29/46 49 95 Putting
106 Going for the Green – Hit Green % +0.179 +0.132 +0.047 7/46 77 121 Approach
107 Proximity to Hole from Short GrassLower is better, flipped +0.177 +0.125 +0.053 2/46 62 129 Around the Green
108 Approaches from 50-125 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.176 +0.123 +0.053 4/46 39 130 Approach
109 Approaches from 200-225 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.174 +0.136 +0.038 8/46 68 119 Approach
110 SG: APP per shot from Fairway Bunker +0.173 +0.168 +0.006 21/46 29 100 Approach
111 Putting from – 15-20 +0.168 +0.178 -0.010 33/46 49 97 Putting
112 Approaches 176-200 yds inside 10 ft % +0.168 +0.112 +0.056 5/46 57 136 Approach
113 Proximity to Hole from RoughLower is better, flipped +0.167 +0.130 +0.037 6/46 56 124 Around the Green
114 Approaches 200+ yds inside 10 ft % +0.164 +0.105 +0.059 2/46 84 139 Approach
115 Driving % 300+ (All Drives) +0.163 +0.125 +0.038 10/41 126 Off the Tee
116 Approaches from > 200 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.162 +0.132 +0.031 10/46 75 122 Approach
117 Approaches from 125-150 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.158 +0.141 +0.017 14/46 39 112 Approach
118 Average Distance after Going for it ShotLower is better, flipped +0.156 +0.158 -0.002 28/46 77 103 Approach
119 Putting from – > 25 +0.156 +0.152 +0.004 21/46 51 109 Putting
120 Approaches 101-150 yds inside 15 ft % +0.151 +0.204 -0.053 45/46 27 88 Approach
121 Approaches 50-100 yds inside 15 ft % +0.144 +0.138 +0.006 20/46 36 116 Approach
122 Ball Speed +0.142 +0.100 +0.042 9/45 142 Off the Tee
123 Approaches 151-175 yds inside 15 ft % +0.141 +0.151 -0.011 30/46 39 110 Approach
124 SG: APP per shot 51-100 yds +0.141 +0.171 -0.031 40/46 36 99 Approach
125 Carry Distance +0.140 +0.096 +0.044 7/45 146 Off the Tee
126 Club Head Speed +0.131 +0.092 +0.039 6/45 148 Off the Tee
127 Average Approach Shot Distance +0.130 +0.109 +0.021 10/46 137 Approach
128 Approaches 101-150 yds inside 10 ft % +0.128 +0.184 -0.056 45/46 27 96 Approach
129 Putting from – 20-25 +0.128 +0.138 -0.011 32/46 49 115 Putting
130 Proximity to Hole from SandLower is better, flipped +0.127 +0.115 +0.013 13/46 44 135 Around the Green
131 Approaches 176-200 yds inside 5 ft % +0.126 +0.077 +0.049 3/46 57 153 Approach
132 Approaches from 100-125 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.125 +0.137 -0.012 30/46 33 118 Approach
133 GIR % – Fairway Bunker +0.123 +0.140 -0.017 29/41 41 114 Approach
134 Approaches 200+ yds inside 5 ft % +0.117 +0.069 +0.048 4/46 84 157 Approach
135 Approaches 151-175 yds inside 10 ft % +0.116 +0.134 -0.018 33/46 39 120 Approach
136 Approaches from 50-125 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.113 +0.156 -0.043 45/46 29 105 Approach
137 Approaches from 175-200 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.107 +0.103 +0.004 25/46 45 141 Approach
138 Approaches 101-150 yds inside 5 ft % +0.105 +0.137 -0.032 42/46 27 117 Approach
139 Driving % 320+ (All Drives) +0.104 +0.093 +0.011 22/46 147 Off the Tee
140 Approaches from 125-150 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.103 +0.116 -0.013 27/45 40 133 Approach
141 Approaches from 225-250 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.094 +0.116 -0.021 34/46 54 134 Approach
142 Approaches 50-100 yds inside 10 ft % +0.094 +0.131 -0.037 42/46 36 123 Approach
143 Approaches from 225-250 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.093 +0.083 +0.011 18/44 55 151 Approach
144 Rough ProximityLower is better, flipped +0.091 +0.122 -0.031 40/46 42 131 Approach
145 Approaches from inside 100 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.089 +0.125 -0.036 41/46 41 128 Approach
146 Lower Launch Angle +0.086 +0.028 +0.058 2/45 163 Off the Tee
147 Total Distance Efficiency +0.085 +0.066 +0.019 13/45 159 Off the Tee
148 Approaches 50-100 yds inside 5 ft % +0.074 +0.104 -0.029 43/46 36 140 Approach
149 Approaches from 200-225 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.073 +0.088 -0.015 30/45 53 150 Approach
150 Rough TendencyLower is better, flipped +0.064 +0.141 -0.077 41/46 46 113 Off the Tee
151 Approaches from 250+ yardsLower is better, flipped +0.061 +0.090 -0.029 36/46 59 149 Approach
152 Average Distance of Birdie putts made +0.059 +0.050 +0.009 19/41 161 Putting
153 Approach Putt PerformanceLower is better, flipped +0.059 +0.077 -0.018 38/46 49 154 Putting
154 Lower Driver Usage % +0.057 +0.076 -0.020 36/45 47 155 Off the Tee
155 Approaches from > 200 yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.053 +0.071 -0.018 34/46 68 156 Approach
156 Left Rough TendencyLower is better, flipped +0.052 +0.097 -0.045 34/41 46 144 Off the Tee
157 Distance from Edge of FairwayLower is better, flipped +0.051 +0.099 -0.048 42/46 37 143 Off the Tee
158 Approaches from 75-100 yardsLower is better, flipped +0.047 +0.121 -0.073 46/46 41 132 Approach
159 Approaches from 250+ yards (Rgh)Lower is better, flipped +0.040 +0.068 -0.028 32/42 55 158 Approach
160 Right Rough TendencyLower is better, flipped +0.038 +0.080 -0.042 35/41 46 152 Off the Tee
161 Approaches 151-175 yds inside 5 ft % +0.031 +0.096 -0.065 46/46 39 145 Approach
162 Higher Spin Rate +0.016 -0.002 +0.018 13/45 165 Off the Tee
163 Distance from Center of FairwayLower is better, flipped +0.014 +0.025 -0.012 28/41 49 164 Off the Tee
164 Higher Apex Height +0.010 +0.033 -0.024 32/45 162 Off the Tee
165 Driving % 280-300 (All Drives) +0.004 -0.024 +0.028 14/41 167 Off the Tee
166 Par % +0.003 +0.055 -0.052 26/46 49 160 Scoring
167 Right TendencyLower is better, flipped -0.042 -0.055 +0.013 11/46 38 168 Off the Tee
168 Left TendencyLower is better, flipped -0.090 -0.023 -0.067 45/46 38 166 Off the Tee

Strokes Gained Analysis

 

Off the Tee

Off the tee, players will be met with wide landing areas on fairways that are perfect for bombers who love to hit a ton of drivers. And they do. Over the first four editions, the field pulled driver on 95% of par 4 and par 5 tee shots, the highest rate of any course in our database going back to 2015 and more than 20 points above the Tour average of about 73%. There are really only two holes where anyone clubs down. On the 459 yard par 4 that used to play as the 15th and now sits as the 9th, between a quarter and a third of the field has hit fairway wood each year. On the 475 yard par 4 that was the 10th and is now the 16th, roughly one in six players has gone with a wood or iron. Everywhere else, including the drivable 297 yard par 4, it’s driver out of the bag. Jonathan Byrd spoke about the “grip it and rip it” mentality here, saying, “When you’ve got so many tee shots where you can just let it go and swing as hard as you want. It kind of gives you plenty of room off the tee and the rough’s not bad, so it’s just kind of swing away.”

The results back that up. The field has averaged close to 298 yards on all drives at Vidanta, five to seven yards above the Tour average in each of the four years, and between 42 and 47 percent of drives have gone 300 plus, compared to about 40 percent across the Tour. Those tee shots matter more than usual because of what comes next. The average approach shot here has been 189 to 193 yards, the longest on the Tour in three of the four years and second longest in the other. Every extra yard off the tee turns a 5 iron into a 6 iron on a course where the field has hit only 71 to 75 percent of greens from the fairway, well below the Tour mark of about 77 percent.

Over the first few years, long hitters like Rahm, Finau, Alejandro Tosti, Aldrich Potgieter, and Patrick Rodgers have filled the top 10 of the leaderboard. Rahm led the 2022 field in driving distance at 340 yards, Knapp ranked second in 2024, and Finau was 11th in 2023. Strokes gained off the tee has been the second strongest predictor of finish here behind approach play, and raw distance has carried more weight than accuracy. Among players who made the cut over the four years, driving distance has correlated with total strokes gained at 0.27, while driving accuracy comes in at just 0.12. Brian Campbell is the exception that proves the rule. He ranked 72nd of 77 in distance at 294 yards during his 2025 playoff win over Potgieter, the longest hitter on Tour, and did it by ranking fifth in fairways hit and leaning on his wedges and short game. As Campbell put it afterward, “It’s impressive how far some of these guys hit it out here, and that’s just not me. I have to take my game elsewhere.”

Fairways here average 41 yards wide which makes them among the widest on Tour. While five holes present water danger off the tee, only two feature water that is tight to landing areas. Twelve holes have water somewhere on them, which ranks seventh most on Tour, but almost all of it comes into play on the approach rather than the drive. The field has hit 62 to 69 percent of fairways here, a few points better than the Tour average each year, and the number has climbed every year even after the rough was grown out to 2.5 inches in 2024. By 2025 the field was finding the rough on only 20 percent of tee shots, against nearly 30 percent across the Tour.

Missing a fairway just doesn’t cost much. The field has hit 54 to 58 percent of greens from off the fairway, which is four to six points better than the Tour average, and the birdie or better rate from the rough has run between 18 and 21 percent, top 10 on Tour in three of the four years and second best in 2025. On most courses the gap in green hit rate between fairway and rough is around 25 points. At Vidanta it’s closer to 17. Along with the rough being non-penal, the slower paspalum fairways will give a bonus to those with longer carry distance, since drives check up quickly and the ball has to get there in the air. Accuracy off the tee is very close to the Tour average but lacks importance with the rough posing little threat in past editions.

One note for this year. The course has been trimmed by about 120 yards and new fairway bunkers were added on a few holes, and the tees can still be moved back during the week. The width hasn’t changed, so expect the same driver heavy approach, just with slightly shorter clubs into the greens.

Approach

Whenever a course is easy to gain strokes off the tee and has expansive fairways combined with huge greens, it places a much stronger emphasis on the approach shot to the green. That is the exact setup at Vidanta Vallarta, where the paspalum greens average around 7,000 square feet and rank among the ten largest on Tour.

With this being such a lengthy track, 42% of approaches have been from over 200 yards since the course joined the schedule in 2022, compared with a Tour average of just 27.5%. Last year that number climbed to 44%, the highest rate of any Tour course. On the flip side, only 21% of approach shots are from inside 150 yards, the lowest share of any course on Tour over that stretch. This second shot length does lead to fewer quality scoring chances as the average proximity to the hole is almost 44 feet, which was the furthest distance on any course last year. Harry Higgs spoke to this last year. “You’re going to have to hit a lot of long irons really well and hit some lag putts well because long irons are hard to get close to the hole.”

Said Stephen Jaeger on approach play here, “I think this golf course requires a lot of shots between about 140 and 200. There’s not a lot of wedges out there unless you get some holes downwind or something. They’re big greens and you’ve got to put them in the right spots to have a good look.”

That middle window plays right around expectation, but the real test sits just beyond it. From 200 to 225 yards, the field has actually lost strokes per shot, the only range at Vidanta where that happens. Once players get past 225 yards the numbers swing back in their favor, mostly because those are par 5 second shots where even a miss on a huge green leaves a simple pitch. Those big putting surfaces also explain why the GIR rate of 66.8% sits right at the Tour average despite all the long irons.

When golfers can use wedges and short irons, Vidanta has been one of the easiest courses to gain on approach. The field picks up 0.041 strokes per shot from inside 150 yards here, nearly six times the Tour average, which ranks 11th of 72 courses since 2022. The catch is those looks simply don’t come around very often.

They will also have to take on six different greens that have water in the vicinity on approach. Since 2022, 1.07% of approaches have found the water compared with 0.71% on Tour. The par 5 14th is the worst offender, with 5.7% of approaches going wet. The 226 yard 17th is the hardest approach on the property, a par 3 where only 47% of the field finds the green and players lose 0.14 strokes per shot. The par 4 10th is no picnic either, with an average approach of 205 yards and a GIR rate of just 34%, the lowest of any hole.

And in typical Greg Norman style, sand traps line the fairways and most greens have at least two deep bunkers to deal with. It total there are 98 bunkers in play on the course. Interestingly, only 6.2% of approaches end up in a greenside bunker, below the Tour average of 7.2%, which speaks to just how much room the greens provide. So while the greens are larger than average, second shot accuracy will still be crucial, especially if coastal winds have an impact. Jon Rahm saw that firsthand on his way to the title in 2022. “We had no wind for 13, 14 holes. It’s very, very scorable,” Rahm said. “Once the wind starts going 20, 30 miles an hour, this golf course starts showing some teeth.”

Around the Green

Vidanta is among the easiest courses on Tour around the greens. Since the course joined the schedule in 2022, the field has gained 0.05 strokes per shot around the green, which ranks 7th easiest on Tour. Compare each player to their own short game everywhere else and Vidanta climbs to 3rd easiest. Some greens are elevated with collection areas behind them which eat up wayward approaches that are long. Players seem to know it, as only 29% of missed greens finish past the hole compared with 34% across the Tour, and the ones who do go long still get up and down about 65% of the time, right in line with the Tour average.

Because the ball tends to sit on top of the Paspalum turf blades combined with slower greens, less touch is needed when chipping which should make the short game much easier. The rough is where the course really gives back. Players have gained 0.09 strokes per chip from the rough at Vidanta, the 5th easiest mark of any course. Those chips finish an average of 10.5 feet from the hole compared with 11.6 feet elsewhere. The edge is smaller from short grass and the sand, but it’s still there, with the field gaining about 0.03 strokes per shot from both. Sand saves have trended up as well, climbing to 56.1% last year after sitting between 48.8% and 51.9% in the first three editions.

Even with all of that, the scrambling rate of 58% sits right at the Tour average and ranks 27th of 53 courses. The huge greens mean misses come from farther out, with the average chip starting 20.6 yards from the hole compared with 18.5 on Tour. More of those misses also land in the rough, as 36% of missed greens finish there compared with 25% on Tour, while only 40% stay on the short grass compared with 46%.

Putting

The greens played tough in the course’s debut in 2022, ranking 14th hardest of 36 courses in strokes gained putting, and the field made just 86.4% of putts from 3 to 5 feet, the 2nd lowest rate on Tour that season. Since then Vidanta has settled in as a middle of the pack putting course, ranking between 22nd and 26th each year, and over the full four years players have actually putted slightly better here than they do elsewhere. Inside 15 feet, the field has made 81.1% of its putts compared with 80.7% on Tour, and the 31.5% make rate from 10 to 15 feet sits above the Tour average as well.

The greens are Paspalum and run around 11 on the Stimpmeter, on the slower side for a Tour stop. While the greens don’t have any type of tiered or severe undulations, they do have some subtle sloping around many of the pin locations. Stephan Jaeger came away impressed with the surfaces during the 2025 event, saying “the greens are so good it’s nice to make some putts.”

Because of all the long approach shots along with the greens being among the largest on Tour at around 7,000 square feet, lag putting still matters. About 10% of putts come from 40 feet or longer, a touch above the 9.4% Tour average. Players have handled those long ones well, though. When they miss from 25 feet and beyond, they leave it an average of 3.1 feet, right in line with the Tour, and the 3 putt rate has dropped from 2.9% of holes in 2022 to 2.3% last year, well below the Tour average of 2.9%.

Paspalum greens tend to neutralize putting for both good and bad putters alike, and the data mostly backs that up. Over four years, the best putters in the field have kept only 46% of their usual edge over the worst putters at Vidanta, while the typical Tour course keeps about 74%.

 

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