The Masters Vivid Picks Plays – Round 1
Ryan Noonan
2 years ago
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Each week, I’ll be posting this free article with a few of my favorite plays for each tournament, some reasons why, and what I would play each leg to. Also, join our Vivid Picks Discord.
The Masters Vivid Picks Plays
Round 1 Over/Under
Will Zalatoris – Over 3.5 Birdies or Better
A second-place finish in your Masters debut is a hell of a way to make an entrance. Following it up with a T6 the following year is equally impressive. Unfortunately, a back injury left Will Zalatoris out of last year’s event and most of the season, but I’m interested to see if the big game hunter is ready to contend at another major.
Willy Z’s electric ball-striking appears to have picked up right where he left off, which is impressive considering that he was away from competitive golf for nine months. He’s gained strokes on approach in six straight starts, and the switch to a broomstick putter has brought mixed results, though I’d call it a win overall despite his struggles last time out in Houston.
Over the past 50 rounds, Zalatoris ranks sixth in this week’s field in Par 5 BoB%. Despite the sloppy weather last year, the Par-5s played under par on each day.
Patrick Reed – Under 73.5 Total Strokes
No one likes clicking on Patrick Reed or rooting for him, but I think this number is trying to account for that. Reed’s surprising T4 at last year’s event saw him go 71-70-72-68, and he’s historically been a ‘form’ player, stringing together multiple strong performances in a row. That’s noteworthy because Reed finished T9 last week at LIV Golf’s Miami event at Doral, and Reed finished 4th on the Asian Tour’s Macau event in his previous start.
This is an important event for Reed, who’s currently on the outside looking in for the other three 2024 majors. A strong finish is required, and this is his best shot in a small field at a track he knows well.
Matthew Fitzpatrick – Under 72.5 Total Strokes
This new version of Matthew Fitzpatrick, the one who continues to add distance to his game at the expense of nothing, is a great fit for Augusta National, and we’ve seen that play out over the past two Masters, with T14 and T10 finishes the past two times out.
Fitzpatrick famously transitioned from a short-hitting fairway finder into one of the longer hitters on Tour, and he’s still above average in terms of accuracy versus the field. His short game remains one of the best on Tour as well.
He comes to Augusta National in excellent form, with a T5 at The PLAYERS and a T10 last week at Valero in his past two starts, and he stayed under this mark in all four of his rounds last season as well. He’s one of the best Par-5 scorers on Tour, and that suits him well this week.
