Round 4 Betting and Showdown Picks – 2022 The Masters

With only nine players shooting under par in Saturday’s third round, Scottie Scheffler accomplished that feat for a third consecutive day with a 1-under 71 to take a three-shot lead heading into Sunday. Cameron Smith shot the round of the day with a 68, jumping into second place, and putting himself in a position to win the Masters in his first start since his victory at the Players Championship last month.

And thus, “Sunday at the Masters” appears to be a head-to-head contest between the two best players in the world over the past few months. The two already have a combined five victories in 2022 and it’s only April.

Sungjae Im battled to a 1-under round and sits in solo third place, five shots back. Shane Lowry and Charl Schwartzel round out the top-five, both seven shots behind Scheffler. 32 consecutive Masters champions have been in the top-five entering the final round. While Scheffler has been a cold-blooded assassin, winning three of his last five events, Smith has been on fire with his approach game, leading the field by a wide margin and gaining 9.5 strokes on the field. Combine that with his amazing short game, and he holds some value at +280 to win.

Sunday’s Weather Forecast

Reconstructed Leaderboard

Here is what the leaderboard would look like heading into the final round if every player had putted to their average baseline. This matters because while putting is very volatile on a one-round basis, it does tend to rebound or regress back towards the mean. This leaderboard can highlight players that hold value if their putting splits normalize or rebound in an even greater way on Sunday. As you can see, Cameron Smith would be leading right now which only adds to his value to potentially come back and win tomorrow.