Last week’s results:
2026 3M Open | Model Accuracy Report
Mean absolute error across ~137 players at TPC Twin Cities · betspertsgolf.com
Ryan Noonan
34.42
Median: 24.5
Most accurate overall
Ron Klos
36.48
Median: 29.0
2nd overall
Andy Molitor
36.70
Median: 30.0
Pat Mayo
41.23
Median: 37.5
Top 20 finishers only — who called the contenders best?
| Ranker |
MAE |
Median |
| Ryan Noonan |
35.68 ✓ |
28.5 |
| Ron Klos |
38.53 |
33.5 |
| Andy Molitor |
43.63 |
40.5 |
| Pat Mayo |
44.47 |
37.5 |
Best individual calls (top 30, error ≤ 5)
AndyJackson Koivun
Ranked 3 → Won
MayoScottie Scheffler
Ranked 2 → 2nd
RonScottie Scheffler
Ranked 1 → 2nd
NoonanKevin Yu
Ranked 15 → T16
AndyBen Kohles
Ranked 11 → 9th
RonTom Kim
Ranked 23 → T20
MayoLee Hodges
Ranked 23 → T20
AndyJake Knapp
Ranked 15 → T13
Shared misses (top 20, all rankers off 25+)
Denny McCarthy — finished T3
Nobody had him inside the top 80
Ron: 80th · Noonan: 88th · Andy: 105th · Mayo: 105th
Chandler Phillips — finished T3
Nobody had him inside the top 61
Ron: 110th · Noonan: 95th · Andy: 98th · Mayo: 61st
Michael Kim — finished T10
Nobody had him inside the top 83
Ron: 83rd · Noonan: 85th · Andy: 102nd · Mayo: 117th
Billy Horschel — finished T13
Closest call was still 60 spots off
Ron: 74th · Noonan: 78th · Andy: 119th · Mayo: 78th
betspertsgolf.com · ~137 players ranked · Koivun won in his 3rd pro start · Cut players assigned positions after all finishers · Tied finishes averaged
Noonan wins overall at 34.42 and takes the top 20 at 35.68 — his fourth strong week in a row. Ron edges Andy for second overall.
Andy nailed Jackson Koivun at 3rd, and Koivun won in just his third pro start (if only he had bet him…) But it was a rough leaderboard otherwise. Three of the top-four finishers (Denny McCarthy, Chandler Phillips, Brian Harman) were buried on every board, which is what pushed the top-20 MAEs into the 40s for Andy and Mayo. Scheffler finishing 2nd was the one thing everyone got right — all four had him 1st or 2nd.
Rocket Classic Consensus Rankings