RBC Canadian Open – Betting Preview

With just one week remaining before the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, the PGA Tour makes its annual trip north of the border for the RBC Canadian Open. The tournament returns for a second consecutive year to the North Course at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley, where players will get one final opportunity to sharpen their games before the season’s third major championship.

Established in 1904, the RBC Canadian Open is Canada’s national championship and the second oldest non major on the PGA Tour schedule, trailing only the BMW Championship, which dates back to 1899. Located roughly 48 miles northwest of Toronto in Alton, Ontario, the North Course at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley becomes the 38th venue in the tournament’s 121 year history and just the eighth since 1977 to host Canada’s national open. The course is a par 70 that will play to 7,389 yards.

The North Course is a parkland style layout set amid rolling countryside. Wide corridors, demanding par 4s, and strategically placed bunkers define the test, while the scale of the property gives several holes a rugged, almost mountainous feel as they traverse a large, secluded landscape.

Originally designed by Doug Carrick, the course underwent an extensive renovation in 2023 led by Ian Andrew in consultation with the PGA Tour. The project was undertaken to prepare the venue for championship level competition, with particular emphasis placed on enhancing the green complexes and repositioning bunkers and hazards to create a more strategic challenge for the world’s best players.

TPC Toronto proved to be one of the more scoreable venues in its inaugural year on the PGA Tour schedule in 2025. Favorable conditions, wide fairways, and receptive greens allowed players to attack throughout the week, with Ryan Fox winning at 18-under after defeating Sam Burns in a four-hole playoff.

The Field

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open has assembled one of its strongest fields in recent memory despite being played the week before the U.S. Open. The tournament will feature four of the world’s top 10 players according to the Official World Golf Ranking: Matt Fitzpatrick (No. 4), Justin Rose (No. 6), Collin Morikawa (No. 7), and Tommy Fleetwood (No. 8). Along with other big names like Viktor Hovland, Shane Lowry, and Sam Burns, the field also includes defending champion Ryan Fox, five-time major champion Brooks Koepka, reigning PGA Championship winner Aaron Rai, and former Canadian Open champion Robert MacIntyre.

While the 147-player field will be missing world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and world No. 2 Rory McIlroy as they prioritize U.S. Open preparation, the event still boasts impressive depth. Canada’s national championship will showcase a strong international presence alongside a talented Canadian contingent led by Nick Taylor, Corey Conners, Taylor Pendrith, Mackenzie Hughes, Sudarshan Yellamaraju, and Adam Hadwin. The combination of established major champions, Ryder Cup veterans, rising stars, and Canada’s best players should provide plenty of star power at TPC Toronto despite its challenging position on the schedule immediately preceding the year’s third major championship.

RBC Canadian Open – Final Model

In each preview article and on Discord, I present my final model, which gives a detailed player ranking of the most important stats and splits for the week. My modeling is based on the PGA’s Strokes Gained data, which is categorized into SG: Off the Tee (OTT), SG: Approach (APP), SG: Around the Green (ARG), and SG: Putting (P). Learn more about Strokes Gained and why it can be so useful in analyzing the past and predicting future performance. Many of these specific metrics and conditions can be found in “The Rabbit Hole“, with my final model exclusively published here and in the Discord for subscribers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eJsDh5G-kVm4B-NDTr9dK531BoWYE7BxecYx8nh9HMU/edit?gid=851687596#gid=851687596

Outright Betting Selections

For the most up-to-date picks, check out my Twitter and subscribe to our Discord at BetspertsGolf.com.

• A. Fitzpatrick +4500 (0.53u) – 365
• Thorbjornsen +4500 (0.53u) – Rivers
• Taylor +5000 (0.48u) – Rivers
• Brennan +5300 (0.45u) – DK
• Hall +5500 (0.43u) – Rivers
• Pendrith +6500 (0.36u) – FD
• Conners +7000 (0.34u) – DK
• Yellamaraju +8000 (0.30u) – Rivers
• Greyserman +9000 (0.26u) – Rivers
• Neergaard Petersen +12500 (0.19u) – Rivers

This article is intended for entertainment purposes and adult users only. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.

Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images