John Daigle
4 years ago
Our BetSperts Golf staff has combed through the projections and available lines to identify our favorite bets for the PGA Championship. These are our Best Bets for the weekend.
Ron Klos: Smith has arguably been the second-best player in the world this season behind Scottie Scheffler. He possesses the exact combination of elite skills that should be targeted at Southern Hills. Over the past 50 rounds he ranks 8th in SG: Approach. He is the best player in the field from 75-150 yards which gives him a distinct advantage on the eight shorter par-4s. He is also 27th in Scrambling. Add in the fact that he is 11th in my Bentgrass putting model and the recipe for success is evident.
Andy Molitor: Yeah, this was my play last week, and I don’t care, it won and I’ll do it again. Even at a tougher course, with a much tougher field. I should have been more aggressive last week, he ended up T17 and honestly left some strokes out there, I think ending up in the top 15 or so is likely his ceiling again. Not to just keep hammering on what I said last week, but he’s STILL a top-20 ball-striker and we’re probably looking at even easier (see: slower) greens here than in Texas. He hit 58/72 greens in regulation last week, I don’t expect anyone to do that here but, if he can keep that up, he’s in contention and the top 40 comes through no sweat.
Ryan Noonan: At this time last year, Young was 496th on the Official World Golf Rankings list, and 12 months later, I’m confidently betting on him to play well at the PGA Championship. Only golf, folks. He leads the Tour in average distance to the hole after a tee shot, a sneaky combination of distance and proximity. He’ll tee it up this week at Southern Hills on the heels of back-to-back strong finishes at the RBC Heritage (T3) and Wells Fargo (T2). Young also has top 20 finishes at the Genesis, Farmers, Honda Classic, and API this season. Those are big boy courses and fields where you need to gain strokes up and down the bag to compete.
John Daigle: I’m taking Noonan’s lean a step further; whether it’s in DFS or the betting markets, Young is not being appropriately considered an individual who could legitimately hoist the Wanamaker trophy when it’s all said and done despite being this field’s No. 1 golfer Tee To Green (T2G) over the last eight rounds and No. 1 Around the Green (ARG) over the last two months. A Top 20 (+240) finish is also in play if you simply want to cover all ground.
Geoff Feinberg: MacIntyre remains 8-for-8 in cuts made in his major championship career which includes four top-25s (though none in a PGA Championship), but the young big-game ceiling Scottsman should be comfortable in the conditions and has the shots to succeed in them. The advantageous (at the time of writing this) tee time Thursday being one of the first players on the course should set the stage for him to make it 9-for-9 on major cuts and keep this bet trending positive all week long.
Featured Image Credit: Yoshihero Iwamo/Golf Digest