Mexico Open Consensus Rankings
Andy Molitor
2 days ago
Butterfield Rankings Recap:
2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship | Model Accuracy Report
Mean absolute error across 114 players at Port Royal Golf Course · betspertsgolf.com
Andy Molitor
28.08
Median: 23.0
Most accurate overall
Ryan Noonan
28.29
Median: 24.0
2nd overall
Ron Klos
28.46
Median: 23.2
Pat Mayo
32.45
Median: 27.0
Top 20 finishers only — who called the contenders best?
| Ranker | MAE | Median |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Molitor | 31.19 ✓ | 19.5 |
| Ron Klos | 35.56 | 36.0 |
| Ryan Noonan | 35.69 | 32.8 |
| Pat Mayo | 51.81 | 51.2 |
Best individual calls (top 30, error ≤ 5)
MayoSeamus Power
Ranked 1 → 2nd
Ranked 1 → 2nd
RonCorey Conners
Ranked 2 → T3
Ranked 2 → T3
AndyCorey Conners
Ranked 8 → T3
Ranked 8 → T3
Noonan, RonSeamus Power
Ranked 6 → 2nd
Ranked 6 → 2nd
RonLuke Clanton
Ranked 15 → T11
Ranked 15 → T11
RonDenny McCarthy
Ranked 11 → T15
Ranked 11 → T15
RonChris Kirk
Ranked 13 → T6
Ranked 13 → T6
AndyDavid Ford
Ranked 28 → T25
Ranked 28 → T25
Shared misses (top 20, all rankers off 25+)
Danny Walker — finished T6
Nobody had him inside the top 75
Andy: 91st · Noonan: 75th · Mayo: 90th · Ron: 100th
Cam Davis — finished T11
Nobody had him inside the top 75
Andy: 92nd · Noonan: 104th · Mayo: 82nd · Ron: 75th
Chandler Blanchet — finished T6
Nobody had him inside the top 63
Andy: 63rd · Noonan: 65th · Mayo: 99th · Ron: 82nd
Taylor Moore — finished T3
Nobody had him inside the top 45
Andy: 62nd · Noonan: 45th · Mayo: 57th · Ron: 47th
Winner Austin Smotherman was 37th on the consensus board, and two of the three T3 finishers sat even deeper, Taylor Moore (53rd) and Ben Silverman (42nd). On the other end, two of the board’s top 10 missed the cut: Ben James (1st) and Kevin Yu (7th). James was the costliest overshoot, 1st for three of the four rankers and 10th for the other.
betspertsgolf.com · 114 players ranked · Cut players assigned positions after all finishers · Max Greyserman (WD) removed and rankings closed up · Tied finishes averaged
Andy Molitor takes the Bermuda Championship in both views, with a 28.08 MAE overall and 31.19 among the top 20 finishers. Overall was a three-way photo finish. Ryan Noonan was 0.21 back at 28.29, Ron Klos was 0.38 back at 28.46, and Pat Mayo was fourth at 32.45. The top-20 view wasn’t close. Andy beat Ron (35.56) and Noonan (35.69) by more than four spots, and Mayo trailed at 51.81.
Mayo still made the call of the week. He had Seamus Power 1st, and Power lost a three-hole playoff to Austin Smotherman on Monday. Noonan and Ron both had Power 6th. Andy’s edge came from two guys he was higher on than anyone. He had Smotherman 16th, the highest of the four (Noonan 19th, Ron 37th, Mayo 83rd), and he had Greyson Sigg 2nd when no one else had him better than 61st. Sigg tied for 11th. Ron filled the calls box with mid-tier hits, seven of the 12 that qualified. The best was Corey Conners 2nd for a T3 when the other three had him 8th or worse, and he also landed Luke Clanton 15th (T11) and Denny McCarthy 11th (T15).
Most of the damage came from the back half of the board. Nobody had Danny Walker (T6) or Cam Davis (T11) better than 75th, and Chandler Blanchet tied for 6th from 81st on the consensus board. The priciest miss was the chalk. Ben James was 1st for Andy, Noonan, and Ron, 10th for Mayo, and he missed the cut. Kevin Yu (7th on the board), John Parry (15th), and Patrick Fishburn (16th) went home early too, and Kevin Roy slid from 6th on the board to a T64. Even so, the average of all four rankings (26.36) beat every individual ranker overall, so the consensus did its job.