Biltmore Championship Consensus Rankings
Andy Molitor
12 days ago
Two weeks off, but still going to recap our rankings from East Lake:
2026 TOUR Championship | Model Accuracy Report
Mean absolute error across the 29 finishers at East Lake Golf Club · betspertsgolf.com
Pat Mayo
8.00
Median: 6.0
Most accurate overall
Ryan Noonan
8.45
Median: 7.0
2nd overall
Ron Klos
8.66
Median: 7.5
Andy Molitor
8.69
Median: 8.0
Top 20 finishers only — who called the contenders best?
| Ranker | MAE | Median |
|---|---|---|
| Pat Mayo | 8.20 ✓ | 6.0 |
| Ryan Noonan | 8.25 | 7.8 |
| Ron Klos | 8.55 | 6.8 |
| Andy Molitor | 9.35 | 8.5 |
Best individual calls (error ≤ 2)
Shared misses (all four rankers off 10+)
Min Woo Lee — finished T4
Nobody had him inside the top 25
Ron: 29th · Noonan: 27th · Andy: 25th · Mayo: 28th
Jacob Bridgeman — finished T4
Nobody had him inside the top 20
Ron: 20th · Noonan: 20th · Andy: 28th · Mayo: 27th
Viktor Hovland — finished 2nd
Closest call was still 10 spots off
Ron: 12th · Noonan: 16th · Andy: 19th · Mayo: 20th
Patrick Cantlay — finished T21
Everyone had him top 7, two had him 2nd
Ron: 7th · Noonan: 2nd · Andy: 7th · Mayo: 2nd
The runner-up and two of the T4s came from the back half of the consensus board. Hovland (18th), Bridgeman (26th), and Lee (dead last at 30th) were the week’s big surprises. On the other end, Cantlay was the costliest overshoot, and Sam Burns (top 3 for three of the four rankers) settled for T18.
betspertsgolf.com · 29 players ranked · 30-man field, no cut · J.J. Spaun (WD) removed and rankings closed up · Tied finishes averaged
Pat Mayo takes the season finale in both views, overall (8.00) and among the top 20 finishers (8.20). It was a tight week, with just 0.69 spots separating first from last. Noonan was 2nd in both views, and Andy finished 4th in both.
The standout call was Alex Fitzpatrick. Andy had him 5th and he tied for 4th, while the other three had him 12th or worse. Mayo also deserves credit for Ryan Gerard, ranking him 9th when the rest of the group had him 17th or lower. He finished 3rd. And everyone had Scottie Scheffler 1st, which was never really a debate.
The misses came from the bottom of the board. Min Woo Lee (T4) was ranked 25th or worse by all four, Jacob Bridgeman (T4) was 20th or worse, and runner-up Viktor Hovland never cracked anyone’s top 11. Patrick Cantlay was the priciest overshoot, going top 7 for everyone and finishing T21. The average of all four rankings (7.66) beat every individual ranker, so the consensus did its job this week.