AT&T Byron Nelson Best Bets

Our BetSperts Golf staff has combed through the projections and available lines to identify our favorite bets for the AT&T Byron Nelson. These are our Best Bets for the weekend.

Mito Pereira Top 40 +110 (FanDuel)

Andy Molitor: Despite missing some time, all the metrics I’m using this week have Mito up towards the top of the field.  Putting can leave something to be desired on the tougher courses, but this isn’t a tougher course.  I think the combination of him being essentially a top-20 ball striker for the past few months and the bentgrass greens should have him very much in contention.  Top 40 at plus money seems like a gift considering his high ceiling/high floor fit here.  He also did play a year of collegiate golf here in Texas if you’re into that sort of thing.

Maverick McNealy Top 20 +260 (BetMGM)

Ryan Noonan: Only Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas have a higher BoB% over the past 36 rounds than Maverick McNealy. I’m not blindly all-in every week on Mav like I am Aaron Wise, but I want to continue buying when the price is right and his skill set fits the track. Over the same time frame, McNealy trails only Scheffler in Par-5 scoring and ranks 10th in total strokes gained per round His all-around game has caught my attention, and he’s also on my card to win this event.

Maverick McNealy Top 30 +160 (FanDuel)

Ron Klos: Making a surprise appearance at 3rd in my final model, TPC Craig Ranch is a place where McNealy can thrive. Over the past 36 rounds in the two key areas for this course, he ranks 13th in my Approach model and 5th in my Bentgrass putting model. As for two of the key scoring stats, he’s a birdie machine ranking 3rd in the entire field, along with being the 2nd best scorer on the par-5s. Looking for consistency as well? He’s made 13 of 14 cuts this season.

Marc Leishman Top Australian +240 (BetMGM)

Geoff Feinberg: Craig Ranch is perfect for Leishman, who won’t have to pay the price on a wayward drive and absolutely relishes easy scoring conditions throughout his career. I took a peak at lots of Leishman markets this week but this one stood out bc a birdie party isn’t Adam Scott’s recipe and while it’s great to see signs of life from Jason Day, he doesn’t worry me and it’s his nice uptick in form that probably gives us a better number to back Marc at.

Kurt Kitayama Top 30 +210 (FanDuel)

John Daigle: Kitayama is not being taken seriously as the potential outright winner that he is given his current form headed into Craig Ranch. Not only does he lead this field in Strokes Gained on Approach shots (+1.31) over the last three months, he’s ranked top-10 in driving distance in that time, too. Fingers crossed he competes in Texas’ “putting contest” long enough to play into the weekend.

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