2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville | Model Accuracy Report
Mean absolute error across 121 players at Biltmore Forest Country Club · betspertsgolf.com
Ryan Noonan
33.79
Median: 30.5
Most accurate overall
Ron Klos
33.83
Median: 28.5
2nd overall
Andy Molitor
34.23
Median: 30.0
Pat Mayo
34.53
Median: 25.5
Top 20 finishers only — who called the contenders best?
| Ranker |
MAE |
Median |
| Ryan Noonan |
31.90 ✓ |
25.0 |
| Andy Molitor |
36.29 |
24.5 |
| Ron Klos |
36.48 |
31.0 |
| Pat Mayo |
45.05 |
51.0 |
Best individual calls (top 30, error ≤ 5)
AndyBen James
Ranked 2 → 2nd
All 4Jackson Koivun
Ranked 1 to 9 → T5
RonBlades Brown
Ranked 19 → T17
NoonanKevin Roy
Ranked 28 → T24
AndyChris Kirk
Ranked 13 → T10
NoonanJohnny Keefer
Ranked 11 → T7
RonMichael Kim
Ranked 25 → T24
MayoMackenzie Hughes
Ranked 27 → T24
Shared misses (top 20, all rankers off 25+)
John VanDerLaan — finished T10
Nobody had him inside the top 93
Andy: 108th · Noonan: 102nd · Mayo: 93rd · Ron: 101st
Haotong Li — finished T10
Nobody had him inside the top 65
Andy: 65th · Noonan: 87th · Mayo: 92nd · Ron: 93rd
Peter Malnati — finished T17
Nobody had him inside the top 60
Andy: 111th · Noonan: 106th · Mayo: 60th · Ron: 107th
Neal Shipley — finished T3
Nobody had him inside the top 40
Andy: 69th · Noonan: 40th · Mayo: 89th · Ron: 66th
Both T3 finishers came from deep on the consensus board, Ricky Castillo (60th) and Neal Shipley (69th), and winner Jacob Bridgeman was only 12th. On the other end, three of the board’s top 10 missed the cut: Davis Thompson (4th), Christiaan Bezuidenhout (8th), and Mac Meissner (10th). Thompson was the costliest overshoot, top 17 for every ranker.
betspertsgolf.com · 121 players ranked · Cut players assigned positions after all finishers · Lanto Griffin and Rasmus Hojgaard (WD) and Lee Hodges (did not play) removed and rankings closed up · Tied finishes averaged
Ryan Noonan takes the Biltmore Championship in both views, with a 33.79 MAE overall and 31.90 among the top 20 finishers. The overall race was a photo finish. Ron Klos sat just 0.04 back at 33.83, Andy Molitor was third at 34.23, and Pat Mayo fourth at 34.53. The top-20 view was less close, with Andy (36.29) and Ron (36.48) trailing Noonan and Mayo well back at 45.05.
The best calls were bold rankings the rest of the group missed. Andy had Chris Kirk 13th when the other three had him 22nd or worse, and Kirk tied for 10th. Noonan had Johnny Keefer 11th while the others had him 25th or worse, and Keefer tied for 7th. Ron had Michael Kim 25th while the other three had him 42nd or worse, and Kim tied for 24th. At the top, Andy had runner-up Ben James 2nd exactly, with Mayo 1st and Noonan 4th, and all four had Jackson Koivun in their top 9 for a T5.
The misses came from the back half of the board. Winner Jacob Bridgeman was 12th on the consensus board, and the two T3 finishers, Ricky Castillo and Neal Shipley, were 60th and 69th. Nobody had John VanDerLaan (T10) inside their top 93. Davis Thompson was the priciest overshoot, top 17 for all four rankers before he missed the cut, and Mac Meissner and Christiaan Bezuidenhout missed from the consensus top 10 as well. The average of all four rankings (31.95) beat every individual ranker overall, so the consensus did its job.