Pat Mayo
2 months ago
Mayo takes a deep dive into tournament and player stats with the Rabbit Hole Tool from Betsperts Golf making his early 2026 Scottish Open Picks, highlighting stats that matter inside the model, and previewing the course at The Renaissance Club.
Who needs designated signature events when we get a field this stacked? Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, the Fitzpatrick brothers, Robert MacIntyre, Tommy Fleetwood, Wyndham Clark, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Cantlay, Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Chris Gotterup, and Ludvig Åberg are all getting in their Open Championship prep this week at the Scottish Open. Oh, and since this is a co-sanctioned event with the DP World Tour, Jon Rahm, Patrick Reed, Tyrrell Hatton, David Puig, Tom McKibbin, and Laurie Canter are all in the field as well. To me, that’s pretty exciting. I suppose your mileage may vary, but this is the first event under the PGA TOUR umbrella where we’ll get PGA TOUR vs. LIV action.
Marco Penge is back playing a PGA TOUR event for the first time since the PGA Championship. He’s been sidelined with injury and illness for the past two months and made his return to competitive action last week at the BMW International Open in Germany.
Despite previously withdrawing before the tournament, Nico Echavarria and Sam Stevens are currently listed in the field for the Scottish Open.
This represents the penultimate opportunity to qualify for The Open Championship. Three spots will be available to players not already exempt via their performance at The Renaissance Club. The final qualifying opportunity comes at Royal Birkdale on Monday.

Par 3’s (5): Average Distance – 187 yards
-> 2 under 165 yards (the other three are north of 200)
(Hole #9 is a problem with the fourth highest bogey rate on the course, following a tough Par 4 #8 where golfers can limp to the turn)
Par 4’s (10): Average Distance – 454 yards
-> 3 under 425 with 5 measuring 475+
Par 5’s (3): Average Distance – 590 yards
DFS Streak
This course is designed to limit momentum and that means you don’t have to waste too much mental power in this regard. The toughest three-hole stretch on the course is 7-8-9 (all of them have a bogey rate that is more than double the under par rate) and the next most difficult is 18-1-2 (Holes 18 and 2 are the two toughest on property).
It’s very possible to build birdie streaks on both sides of this course, but they rarely happen when bridging the nine’s, so don’t look this direction for a Showdown tiebreaker.
PGA DP World Tour Co-Sanctioned
DP World Tour Only
2025 was the first instance of a multi-stroke winner since this event moved to the Renaissance Club in 2019 (four years as a solo Euro event before becoming a PGA/DPWT event in 2022)
WINNER PROFILE
2025: Chris Gotterup -15 (+6500) beat Rory McIlroy and Marco Penge by 2
2024: Robert MacIntyre (+4000) beat Adam Scott by 1
2023: Rory McIlroy (+900) beat Robert MacIntyre by 1
2022: Xander Schauffele (+1800) beat Kurt Kitayama by 1
2021: Min Woo Lee (-18, playoff win over Thomas Detry and Matt Fitzpatrick)
2020: Aaron Rai (-11, playoff win over Tommy Fleetwood)
2019: Bernd Wiesberger (-22, playoff win over Benjamin Herbert)
Open Championship Lead in
Each of the five Champion Golfers of the year played in the Scottish Open the week before, and of the last four, the worst finish of that group was Brian Harman in 2023 (T12 at Scottish Open)
Gotterup, (25) Rory (23) and Xander (22) finished top 15 at The Open the week following this win. Bobby Mac did not. He was T50 at the 2024 Open.
Top of the board at the Scottish Open in 2025 and (where they finished at The Open)
Top of the board at the Scottish Open in 2024 and where they finished at The Open
Top of the board at the Scottish Open in 2023 and where they finished at The Open
FIRST ROUND LEADERS
*AM/PM splits are based on local time
2025
64 – Sepp Straka (AM), Nico Echavarria (AM), Jake Knapp (AM), Victor Perez (PM)
2024
62 – Justin Thomas (PM)
2023
61 – Ben An (AM)
2022
61 – Cameron Tringale (AM)
Memorial Park in Houston: Both Tom Doak designs, massive leaderboard crossover, and similar driver heavy focus/ball speed focus.
Accuracy super low. GIR really high.
Only four holes on the Ocean and you’re not going to hit into it.
Fairway bunkers the biggest defense.
The wind and weather can also provide a reasonable defense, but the past few years at this event, there have been terrific conditions. The last truly weather affected year was 2022 when Xander won at -8. Current forecast looks solid. Nothing crazy as of now.
Tyrrell Hatton — It hasn’t mattered whether it’s been the majors, LIV, the DP World Tour, or the Asian Tour; Hatton has continued to hover around the top of leaderboards over the past year. He has a terrific track record in Scotland, having been one of the best performers at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship over the years. Even dating back to when the Scottish Open was solely a DP World Tour event, he’s never finished worse than T24 at The Renaissance Club.
Kurt Kitayama — Kitayama’s ball striking continues to rank among the elite, even when measured against the best players in the world. He previously recorded a runner-up finish at The Renaissance Club, and his European experience should prove beneficial if the weather conditions deteriorate in Scotland.
This course switch seems to have been overlooked by most this week, as we get away from the BOMBS away venue to a tight, short, parkland track. Hurstbourne is one of the five shortest courses of the year and features the third smallest green complexes.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout — Enters riding a heater with his approach play, which was the largest predictor of the leaderboard year one Hurstbourne. He even spiked with his putter at JDC a week ago as well. Plus, at a course this short, he can get away with his usual lack of distance if he can hit some fairways.