2025 Wyndham Championship – Noonan’s Outright Picks and Preview

The Wyndham Championship is the season’s final regular-season stop, with much on the line for most of this week’s field. While the event lacks most of the Tour’s best, the field for the Wyndham Championship continues to improve each season, as it’s the final opportunity for someone on the outside looking in to punch their ticket to next week’s first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs in Memphis.

The top 70 in the FedEx Cup standings will be part of the playoffs, a shift from 125 just a few seasons ago. Additionally, a limited number of 2026 Tour cards are available, with the top 100 after the fall swing assured of a spot next season. There’s always something to play for, but the stakes are heightened this week in Greensboro.

Donald Ross’s Sedgefield Country Club, a short, positional 7,131-yard par-70 track covered in Champion Bermuda grass, offers players a unique test this week. The course is narrow off the tee, and Ross used the subtleties of rolling Carolina terrain to create sloping fairways and greens that require elite precision from this week’s field. The rough isn’t overly long, but Bermuda rough is a unique challenge because the lies are often unpredictable. With the winning score in the upper-teens and low 20s, finding opportunities to be aggressive is vital, but that’s nearly impossible to do if you’re playing your second shot from the rough or fairway bunkers here.

For more course details, check out Ron’s course preview. It’s the best in the business, bar none. Also, don’t forget to check out our new research tools, the course stats page, along with the Tournament Cheat Sheet.

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YouTube: Betsperts Golf

Key Rabbit Hole Stats This Week:

• SG: Comp Courses (Last 3 Years, Colonial CC, Harbour Town, TPC River Highlands, Waialae CC, Sea Island, Sedgefield CC)
• SG: Total (Course Length, Short, Very Short, and Average; Scoring Conditions, Easy, Very Easy, and Average; Field Strength, Weak, Very Weak, and Average, Last 12 months)
• SG: Total (Bermuda greens and rough)
• SG: Ball-striking (Less than driver, Last 18 months)
• Distance From Edge of Fairway

There are millions of ways to bet on this beautiful game, and my goal with this piece is to touch on the golfers I’m targeting in the outright market this week. Remember to check out the Rabbit Hole, our customizable stat database that can help you pare down your player pool each week.

Please take advantage of the Discord feature and community. It’s the best way to get up-to-the-minute lines and advice, and if you need help getting started, please reach out. That’s where my full card will be posted, along with any live in-tournament bets.

*Betting lines are accurate at the time of publication in Discord.

Noonan’s Wyndham Championship Outright Targets

My betting card structure is a little bit different this week, with more names on the card, even though the spend/unit allocation is in line with what I do every single week. I’m taking two shots near the top of the odds board, skipping the large middle tier, and jumping down to the 90-110/1 range for the remaining plays.

Ben Griffin (28/1)

Ben Griffin‘s game has evolved well beyond the label of a weak field/Bermuda specialist, but he’s still ripe to succeed in this environment. Over the past six months, Griffin has led this week’s field in SG: total, and there’s no one better at putting on fast Bermuda grass greens.

His string of strong results this summer came on courses where finding the fairway off the tee was at a premium, including his win at Colonial. While Sedgefield isn’t going to get confused with Muirfield Village (2nd) or Oakmont (T10), you couldn’t contend at those events if you weren’t able to control your ball off the tee.

Griffin’s got a lot on the line this week. Even though he’s set to make it all the way to East Lake and the Tour Championship, he’s stated his desire to be on this fall’s Ryder Cup team, and I think he needs a splash down the stretch to ensure that happens. After two missed cuts in a row, I think the North Carolina native gets up for this one in front of friends and family.

Hideki Matsuyama (35/1)

I backed Hideki Matsuyama at the Open Championship a few weeks back, and the handicap is similar in a sense, at least off the tee. After an opening round of 74, Matsuyama shot 69, 68, 66 to finish T16, gaining strokes throughout the bag.

His inaccuracy off the tee has been what’s kept him out of the winner’s circle over the past few months, so these tracks, where clubbing down off the tee happens so frequently, serve him. Matsuyama has actually been able to gain strokes off the tee from his accuracy during recent starts at Colonial, TPC River Highlands, and Royal Portrush, and his approach numbers remain elite.

He’s also been a better-than-average putter on Bermuda grass greens, the only putting surface where he’s strokes-gained positive over the past two years.

Bud Cauley (90/1)

After a strong spring, it’s been a quiet summer for Bud Cauley. Still, this is more of a course fit week for me, so I’m not overly concerned with Cauley’s lackluster showing in his two starts in the U.K.

Outside of a solid track record here at Sedgefield, Cauley’s best showings this season have come on tighter, positional tracks like Colonial (3rd), TPC San Antonio (T5), Innisbrook (T4), and TPC Sawgrass (T6).

Jackson Koivun (90/1)

It’s clear that the world’s top-ranked amateur is not afraid to step up in class. He’s coming off a T6 finish at the alt-field ISCO Championship just two weeks ago, finishing with a 66-68-68 on the short par-70 course that played +1.06 strokes over par.

He’s not going to model particularly well because he doesn’t have much data to work with, but he’s shown exceptional ball-striking numbers and above-average accuracy off the tee in his limited starts. The Auburn sophomore has played a lot of golf on Bermuda grass. Koivun grew up in Chapel Hill, about 30 minutes east of Greensboro, and as a freshman, he became the first player ever to sweep all four major collegiate awards in the same season. This is a name we’ll likely become quite familiar with over the next decade.

Andrew Novak (90/1)

I like this spot and price for Andrew Novak, who still has an outside shot at being the 12th man on the U.S. Ryder Cup team with a solid finish to the season. Novak models well in comp course rankings and on Bermuda grass, which are keys to success this week.

He’s not been quite as sharp as he was this spring, but playing well at Harbour Town (2nd) and Colonial (T11) are strong indicators that Novak’s game is a fit for Sedgefield.

Austin Eckroat (100/1)

You don’t want to fire up Austin Eckroat on bigger ballparks against strong fields, but places like Sedgefield suit his game perfectly. Sixth here last season, Eckroat has made the cut in eight straight starts and has gained strokes on approach in each of the past four.

Eckroat’s going to keep the ball in play off the tee, and he ranks fourth in ball-striking in this week’s field when adjusted for a high rate of ‘less than driver’ off the tee. He hasn’t really threatened the top of the leaderboard since winning at El Cardonal at Diamante in the fall, but I like him at triple-digits this week.

Nico Echavarria (100/1)

One of the key pieces of my model this week is eliminating difficult scoring conditions, long courses, and strong fields from the data. When I do that and look at who’s been the best over the past 12 months, Nico Echavarria ranks third in this week’s field. That’s enough for me at 100/1.

I made the bet prior to finding out that he’s likely one of the most bet golfers this week. A 100/1 community win would be quite the experience, but I’m ready for it.

Ryo Hisatsune (110/1)

The 22-year-old Japanese prodigy is back at Sedgefield after a T3 here in 2024. His recent run of finishes leaves much to be desired, but again, I’m focusing more on how his game fits this course more than how he played at the 3M or in Scotland.

His lack of distance won’t matter this week, and he’ll be rewarded for his ability to keep the ball in play. He’s a strong mid-iron player as well, and has been about field-average on Bermuda greens over a decent sample of 24 rounds. Like all of these longer shot plays, a finishing position bet is worth considering as well.