2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Card Picks and Preview

The PGA Tour’s California swing continues this week on the Monterrey Peninsula for the three-course Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links. Similar to the American Express a few weeks ago, this is a 54-hole cut event, with each Pro-Am duo playing one round at Spyglass Hill (6,953 yards, Par-72), Monterey Peninsula’s Shore Course (6,958 yards, Par-71) and the host course, Pebble Beach (7,051 yards, Par-72), with the top 60 and ties moving on to Sunday’s final round on the host course. They’re all short coastal courses with Poa annua greens where the degree of difficulty is dictated by the wind. 

This is more descriptive than predictive, but it’s worth noting that over the past decade or so, Tom Hoge’s 2022 win at 60/1 was an outlier Pebble Beach. This event has been won exclusively by either top-of-the-board talent (Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Daniel Berger, etc.) or the longest of long shots (Nick Taylor, Ted Potter Jr., Vaughn Taylor). Golfers priced at 30/1 to 100/1, a massive range, have been a money pit for outright tickets of late. You can make a case that the shift of talent to LIV Golf changes the calculus here moving forward, but we have a clear “Big 3” this week (Spieth, Hovland, and Fitzpatrick) and then a sizable dropoff in terms of status and world ranking.

This is also a track where experience matters. Since 2000, every winner at this event recorded a T16 or better in one or more of their previous three starts here. With the Pro-Am element forcing a three-course rotation and slow rounds, this is not everyone’s cup of tea, which is likely why just ten of the world’s top 50 golfers are here this week.